By Paul Tracy
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One of the Safest Dividend-Paying Stocks
Essential Items
Philip Morris International (PM)
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Editor’s Note: In today’s Cabot Wealth Advisory, you’ll hear from Paul Tracy, a co-founder of StreetAuthority and chief investment strategist of StreetAuthority’s Top 10 Stocks. Paul discusses an investment he calls one of the safest dividend-paying stocks on the planet. I hope you enjoy his issue!
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I’ve found what I think is one of the safest dividend-paying stocks on the planet.
In the past year, this company earned $8.1 billion dollars in profits and only distributed $4.5 billion in dividends. In other words, it could see its earnings fall more than 40% ... and still be able to maintain the dividend.
At the same time, this company’s stock has held strong in the downturn, especially compared with the broader market. In fact, if you go back to just before the downturn started, then it’s actually UP--compared with a nearly double-digit drop in the S&P 500. Just take a look at the graph.
But let me tell you, it’s not billions of dollars in earnings that cover the dividend payment or strong performance in a rocky market that make me think this is one of the safest dividend stocks in the world.
While a healthy dividend and reduced losses may be nice perks for investors, it’s what this company does that makes it so stable.
You see, when the economy is strong, people don’t have a problem buying high-tech gadgets or spending bundles on luxuries.
But as soon as the economy starts to head south, these expenses are the first to be cut.
But there are some goods that people always buy, regardless of the economy. These “necessities,” and the companies that make them, often perform well--even during times of financial uncertainty.
Take cigarettes for example. It doesn’t matter much what the economy is doing, people will still buy cigarettes. That’s good news for cigarette makers like Philip Morris International (PM).
Philip Morris International is the world’s second-largest tobacco company (behind China National Tobacco) and holds almost 16% of the non-U.S. market. Philip Morris’ brands include seven of the world’s top 15 names, including Marlboro, the #1 cigarette brand worldwide.
This company is a spin-off of Altria’s (MO) cigarette business outside U.S. borders. Altria continues to sell its brands--including Marlboro and Merit--in the United States, but this business is slowly shrinking.
Outside the United States, it’s a different story.
For all of 2010, Philip Morris International saw cigarette sales rise 4.1% (thanks to acquisitions), while revenue increased 8.7%.
Looking at sales volume, Europe remains the company’s single most important market. Right now, 38% of Philip Morris’ sales come from Europe.
But things are changing. High taxes and new tobacco regulations are pushing down sales in countries such as Greece, Spain and France, places where per-capita tobacco consumption has historically been pretty high.
However, even though fewer smokers in developed countries are lighting up, estimates still say that there will be 1.4 billion smokers globally by 2020. That’s up from the 1.3 billion out there today.
So if it’s not the United States and it’s not Europe, where are all these new smokers coming from?
Emerging markets.
As countries in these regions expand, there’s a substantial increase in the disposable incomes of their citizens. With a little more money in their wallets, a larger percentage of the population can afford premium international cigarettes.
But of course, we’re most interested in the dividend--and its safety.
Starting Oct. 11, Philip Morris International will start paying $0.77 per share every quarter; a 20% dividend increase it recently announced. This amounts to $3.08 per share every year, or a 4.5% yield.
This might not sound like much to write home about, but here’s the kicker--Philip Morris has raised the dividend 67.4% since 2008.
And the company can afford this increase to its dividend. Like I said earlier, Philip Morris has a payout ratio of 55% over the trailing 12 months, indicating plenty of room for future growth ... and a near zero risk of a cut at this time.
So though shares currently yield 4.5%, investors who buy now are likely to see their yield on cost rise over time.
Now, I know investing in cigarettes may not be for everyone, and I am by no means condoning the behavior. But as an analyst, it’s my job to find ripe investment opportunities. And with a history of steady cash flow, the strongest brand names in the industry and substantial emerging-market growth, Philip Morris International is an ideal safety-first income play.
This doesn’t mean this investment is risk-free--nothing short of a savings account is. However, I do think the stock ranks high among the safest dividend-payers in the world.
But Philip Morris is just one of the many income-paying prospects available from companies focused overseas. In fact, I think the abundance of international income investments is one of the market’s best-kept secrets ... there are literally thousands of high-yielders abroad.
To prove this, I recently had a member of StreetAuthority’s research staff comprise a list of profitable companies with shares yielding 12% or more. What we found was pretty remarkable.
In total, my team found 430 common stocks paying dividends of 12% or higher. However, only 18 of these companies were located in the United States. The other 412 were located in international markets.
Action to take --> This means if you want high yielding stocks, then 96% of your opportunities are located outside the United States. But don’t worry, you can buy many of these without even leaving the U.S. markets.
Best,
Paul Tracy
Co-Founder StreetAuthority
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