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The PAD System Report

The PAD (Patience and Discipline) System Report is based on Dan Seiver’s book Outsmarting Wall Street (3rd ed, Probus/McGraw Hill, 1994), which was a Fortune Book Club Alternate Selection. Earlier editions of the book won praise from Nobel Prize winners Paul Samuelson and James Tobin, and legendary investor John Templeton....

The PAD (Patience and Discipline) System Report is based on Dan Seiver’s book Outsmarting Wall Street (3rd ed, Probus/McGraw Hill, 1994), which was a Fortune Book Club Alternate Selection. Earlier editions of the book won praise from Nobel Prize winners Paul Samuelson and James Tobin, and legendary investor John Templeton. The PAD System Report applies rigorous stock-selection rules and a long-term timing system, described in Outsmarting Wall Street, to an actively managed portfolio, Model Portfolio–C. The Hulbert Financial Digest, leading rater of investment newsletters, reports that Seiver’s Model Portfolio-C outperformed the Wilshire 5000 on a risk-adjusted basis for its entire 21-year rating period, January 1989 - December 2009. This portfolio has also far outpaced the market over the last 10 years. The philosophy of the PAD System can be summarized as “growth at a reasonable price.” The PAD System Report also includes expert commentary on the economy and economic policy, and their long-term effects on the stock market. Full issues of the report appear quarterly, with briefer monthly updates.

Daniel Alan Seiver is a Professor of Economics (Emeritus) at Miami University (Ohio) where he taught from 1978 to 2005. He is currently a Lecturer in Finance at San Diego State University. Seiver’s academic research has been published in leading economics journals including the American Economic Review (Papers and Proceedings), the International Economic Review, and the Review of Income and Wealth. He is the author of Outsmarting Wall Street (3rd edition, 1994), the basis for the PAD System. Seiver’s comments on financial markets and the economy have been quoted in the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, Forbes, Fortune, Money, Business Week, and many other financial and online publications. He has been a Guest Market Monitor on the PBS program Nightly Business Report. Seiver received his BA and his PhD in Economics from Yale.