Issues
In uncertain times like these, it’s only natural that defensive-minded investors are gravitating to healthcare stocks. After all, this space is characterized by consistent demand for essential products and services that millions rely on, regardless of the state of the economy. (Additionally, many of the companies in this category offer dividends that can be considered quite attractive during market sell-offs.)
While the sector itself has only lately returned to favor, a number of consumer-facing healthcare companies remain out of Wall Street’s good graces and under the public’s radar—including some which provide critical staple products for the everyday needs of consumers.
One of those companies is today’s turnaround recommendation.
While the sector itself has only lately returned to favor, a number of consumer-facing healthcare companies remain out of Wall Street’s good graces and under the public’s radar—including some which provide critical staple products for the everyday needs of consumers.
One of those companies is today’s turnaround recommendation.
At face value, it’s admittedly a challenge to build a bullish case for the long-term viability of satellite radio. Indeed, as the popularity and reach of digital streaming platforms grow, satellite as a communications medium looks antiquated by comparison.
That said, a case can also be made that reports of satellite radio’s demise are decidedly premature. When researching for this month’s issue of CTL, for instance, I came across an article under the following headline: “Satellite Radio is Dead.” It went on to explain, “Satellite radio will come crashing down to Earth within the next two years. The newly merged Sirius XM Radio is already living on borrowed time—and borrowed money—and simply will not and cannot survive.”
That said, a case can also be made that reports of satellite radio’s demise are decidedly premature. When researching for this month’s issue of CTL, for instance, I came across an article under the following headline: “Satellite Radio is Dead.” It went on to explain, “Satellite radio will come crashing down to Earth within the next two years. The newly merged Sirius XM Radio is already living on borrowed time—and borrowed money—and simply will not and cannot survive.”
Lost in the frenzy surrounding all things AI are companies that fall under the “boring but important” category. This includes producers of everyday things we often take for granted but which are nonetheless crucial for the smooth functioning of countless segments of the economy. To be fair, these otherwise “boring” industries quite often provide investors with outsized opportunities for profit due to their under-the-radar nature.
Many are surprised to learn that the concept of telehealth wasn’t a direct result of the Covid pandemic in 2020. Indeed, the practice of online consultations between patients and medical personnel has been practiced for over 20 years, and this month’s featured company is arguably the first one to bring it to global prominence.
With the approach of the Christmas shopping season, we’re heading into what’s regarded as prime “restaurant season,” as the holidays typically see more foot traffic than any other time of the year, and with December historically the highest-selling month for U.S. restaurants.
Today, we introduce a stock that’s poised to take advantage of the holiday shopping boom - and the ongoing post-Covid recovery in the trillion-dollar industry.
Today, we introduce a stock that’s poised to take advantage of the holiday shopping boom - and the ongoing post-Covid recovery in the trillion-dollar industry.
For much of the last four years, the “friendly skies” have been anything but for the airline industry and its customers. The restrictive measures of the Covid era put the entire $1.2 trillion air travel industry into a tailspin, causing massive financial losses and layoffs for the major carriers, not to mention major headaches for travelers.
The problems began in March 2020 and continued through that year, but by the start of 2021, industry-wide losses totaled over $35 billion, with no fewer than 64 airlines around the world ceasing operations. By the time Covid restrictions were lifted in 2023 (in the words of a contemporary CNN report), “A handful [of airlines] have revived after announcing bankruptcy, or changed names, but the vast majority are gone for good.”
The problems began in March 2020 and continued through that year, but by the start of 2021, industry-wide losses totaled over $35 billion, with no fewer than 64 airlines around the world ceasing operations. By the time Covid restrictions were lifted in 2023 (in the words of a contemporary CNN report), “A handful [of airlines] have revived after announcing bankruptcy, or changed names, but the vast majority are gone for good.”
For much of the last two years, the white-hot semiconductor space was the industry group least likely to yield any meaningful turnaround candidates. But that dynamic changed following this summer’s tech sector sell-off, which brought many of the previously high-flying chip stocks back to earth (or at least further away from the firmament).
After the tumultuous sell-off in the broad equity market last month, the S&P 500 Index is back to within a few points of its all-time high as of this writing in what has been one of the fastest comebacks in recent memory.
As I mentioned in my first installment of the Cabot Turnaround Letter, the most valuable lesson I have learned in my professional career as a price forecaster is that the rate of change – of just about any metric – tells us everything we need to know about the immediate future. When the rate of change accelerates, it tends to continue accelerating. When it decelerates, it tends to continue decelerating. And the resulting push and pull is a large part of what comprises the business cycle.
In this month’s issue of Cabot Turnaround Letter, I recommend a company I’ve been fond of all the way back to 7th grade. It’s a household name, but one that’s perhaps been forgotten on Wall Street in recent years. But now, it looks primed for a turnaround.
Details inside.
Details inside.
Sizing up a merger arb opportunity requires more than just garden variety equity analysis. In his famous letter to Berkshire Hathaway shareholders in 1988, Warren Buffett laid out four questions to answer regarding arbitrage situations:
- How likely is it that the promised event will indeed occur?
- How long will your money be tied up?
- What chance is there that something still better will transpire – a competing takeover bid, for example?
- What will happen if the event does not take place because of anti-trust action, financing glitches, etc.?
In twenty years of price forecasting, the most valuable lesson I have learned is that the rate of change tells us everything we need to know about the immediate future. When it accelerates, it tends to continue accelerating. When it decelerates, it tends to continue decelerating. And surprisingly, this tends to be the case no matter what metric we choose to examine.
Updates
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including GE Aerospace (GE), Paramount Global (PARA), SLB Ltd. (SLB), Starbucks (SBUX) and UiPath (PATH).
This month’s catalyst report features a mixed bag of longer-term attractive turnaround candidates in industries ranging from car rentals to dental equipment to semiconductors.
This month’s catalyst report features a mixed bag of longer-term attractive turnaround candidates in industries ranging from car rentals to dental equipment to semiconductors.
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for several of the stocks in the portfolio, including Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM), Alcoa (AA), Atlassian (TEAM), GE Aerospace (GE), Paramount Global (PARA), SLB Ltd. (SLB) and Starbucks (SBUX).
Gold and silver continue to benefit from safe-haven buying, boosting our holding of Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM).
Gold and silver continue to benefit from safe-haven buying, boosting our holding of Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM).
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM), GE Aerospace (GE), Paramount Global (PARA), Sirius XM (SIRI), Teladoc Health (TDOC) and UiPath (PATH).
Gold and silver continue to benefit from safe-haven buying, boosting our holding of Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM).
Trump’s tariffs are directly, or indirectly, roiling some of holdings, including Sirius XM (SIRI) and UiPath (PATH). The favorable long-term outlooks for both stocks remain unchanged, however.
Gold and silver continue to benefit from safe-haven buying, boosting our holding of Agnico-Eagle Mines (AEM).
Trump’s tariffs are directly, or indirectly, roiling some of holdings, including Sirius XM (SIRI) and UiPath (PATH). The favorable long-term outlooks for both stocks remain unchanged, however.
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Alcoa (AA), Janus Henderson Group (JHG), Paramount Global (PARA) and Starbucks (SBUX).
This week’s watch list includes a focus on the suddenly interesting toy market outlook, with two major industry members poised to benefit from it.
This week’s watch list includes a focus on the suddenly interesting toy market outlook, with two major industry members poised to benefit from it.
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Alcoa (AA), Centuri Holdings (CTRI), Janus Henderson Group (JHG), Paramount Global (PARA), Starbucks (SBUX) and Teladoc Health (TDOC).
This month’s catalyst report features a mixed bag of attractive turnaround candidates in several industries, including software, healthcare, luxury retail and chemicals.
This month’s catalyst report features a mixed bag of attractive turnaround candidates in several industries, including software, healthcare, luxury retail and chemicals.
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM), Alcoa (AA), American Airlines (AAL), Berkshire Hathaway (BRKB), Brookfield Wealth Solutions (BNT), GE Aerospace (GE), Pan American Silver (PAAS), Starbucks (SBUX) and Toast Inc. (TOST).
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Alcoa (AA), American Airlines (AAL), Berkshire Hathaway (BRKB), Sirius XM (SIRI) and SLB Ltd. (SLB).
Overall market liquidity remains ample, yet small-cap stocks have lagged in recent months, suggesting money availability isn’t as profuse as it was last year.
Overall market liquidity remains ample, yet small-cap stocks have lagged in recent months, suggesting money availability isn’t as profuse as it was last year.
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Alcoa (AA), Janus Henderson Group (JHG), Paramount Global (PARA), Starbucks (SBUX) and Teladoc Health (TDOC).
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Alcoa (AA), Atlassian (TEAM), Fidelity National Services (FIS), Paramount Global (PARA) and Starbucks (SBUX).
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments and ratings changes for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM), Alcoa (AA), American Airlines (AAL), GE Aerospace (GE), SLB Ltd. (SLB) and UiPath (PATH).
Projected strength in U.S. commercial loan growth and continued increases in M2 money supply bode well for the stock market’s liquidity backdrop.
Projected strength in U.S. commercial loan growth and continued increases in M2 money supply bode well for the stock market’s liquidity backdrop.
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments and ratings changes for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Alcoa (AA), Atlassian (TEAM), GE Aerospace (GE), SLB Ltd. (SLB), Starbucks (SBUX), Super Hi International Holding (HDL) and Teladoc Health (TDOC).
In today’s note, we discuss pertinent developments and institutional ratings changes for some of the stocks in the portfolio, including Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM), Alcoa (AA), American Airlines (AAL), Atlassian (TEAM) and Toast Inc. (TOST).
Alerts
Sell Fortrea Holdings (FTRE); Buy Pan American Silver (PAAS)
A Tale of Two Earnings Reports: Atlassian (TEAM) and Vestis (VSTS)
I’m recommending that we sell a quarter of our position in American Airlines (AAL).
I’m recommending that we sell a quarter of our position in Super Hi International Holding (HDL).
I’m recommending that we sell our position in Solventum (SOLV). I’m recommending that we sell our position in Baxter International (BAX).