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Growth Investor
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December 10, 2024

WHAT TO DO NOW: We’re paring back further today, not because of any major change in the top-down evidence, but simply taking our cues from individual stocks. Today we’re going to sell our stake in Samsara (IOT), which pulled back normally after earnings last week, but the follow-on selling prompts us to cut bait. That sell will boost our cash position to the upper 30% range, which we’ll hold on to for now. Details below.

The major indexes are relatively quiet this morning, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 up a bit, though growth stocks are mixed, with some bouncing but others remaining under pressure.

This bulletin is about Samsara (IOT), which was looking great heading into earnings last week, but the action since has been iffy. As for the numbers, the firm reported a good-not-great quarter—sales (up 36%) and earnings (up 75%) topped expectations, but the Q4 outlook was left alone (wasn’t bumped up), which was disappointing, leading to some selling last Friday.

That initial downdraft was unpleasant but normal … but IOT has fallen further both yesterday (with most growth stocks) and again this morning (as software peer Oracle (ORCL) is getting hit on its own report), causing the stock to fall below both its 50-day line and round-number support in the 50 area.

To be fair, IOT isn’t a disaster, and our loss is reasonable, but given the action of growth stocks and the three days of high-volume selling, we’re going to cut our loss here. SELL IOT

That will boost our cash position into the upper 30% range, which might be too high—while growth stocks have definitely hit an air pocket, many are handling themselves normally. Thus, we’re not ruling out putting some of that cash back to work, especially as some names we’re following approach solid risk/reward areas. Right now, though, we’ll sit tight as we wait for support to appear in many names we’re watching.

Don’t hesitate to email me directly (mike@cabotwealth.com) if you have any questions.


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A growth stock and market timing expert, Michael Cintolo is Chief Investment Strategist of Cabot Wealth Network and Chief Analyst of Cabot Growth Investor and Cabot Top Ten Trader. Since joining Cabot in 1999, Mike has uncovered exceptional growth stocks and helped to create new tools and rules for buying and selling stocks. Perhaps most notable was his development of the proprietary trend-following market timing system, Cabot Tides, which has helped Cabot place among the top handful of market-timing newsletters numerous times.