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Turnaround Letter
Out-of-Favor Stocks with Real Value

June 14, 2024

Ammo Inc (POWW) beat on revenue of $40.42M but its EPS of $0.01 per share missed expectations by $0.03. The company experienced sequential revenue growth in the ammunition segment and maintained robust margins in the GunBroker marketplace, but total revenues and gross profit margin were both down year-on-year, influenced by a shift in sales mix and macroeconomic pressures. The year ended with substantial operational cash flow and an improved net working capital position including $55.6M in cash, positioning the company for future growth.

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Ammo Inc (POWW) beat on revenue of $40.42M but its EPS of $0.01 per share missed expectations by $0.03. The company experienced sequential revenue growth in the ammunition segment and maintained robust margins in the GunBroker marketplace, but total revenues and gross profit margin were both down year-on-year, influenced by a shift in sales mix and macroeconomic pressures. The year ended with substantial operational cash flow and an improved net working capital position including $55.6M in cash, positioning the company for future growth.

Friday, June 14, 2024, Subscribers-Only Podcast:

Covering recent news and analysis for our portfolio companies and other topics relevant to value/contrarian investors.

Today’s podcast is about 6 minutes long and covers:

  • Initial note
    • Introduction – some thoughts on AMMO Inc’s earnings and today’s SCOTUS ruling.
  • Comments on recommended companies
    • Kopin (KOPN) recently announced changes to the Board of Directors. CEO Michael Murray will now also assume the Chairperson role, and Margaret Seif, former Chief Legal Officer for Analog Devices (ADI) was elected as a new director.
    • Polaris (PII) launched its electric off-road vehicle charging network in Michigan’s Upper Peninsula, just under a year after the company received a Mobility Public-Private Partnership & Programming (MP4) grant through the Michigan Office of Future Mobility & Electrification’s (OFME) program.
    • VF Corp (VFC) President Bracken Darrell acquired more than 75,000 shares ($997,000) and director Richard Carucci acquired 25,000 shares (~$350,000) of the apparel manufacturer on the open market. Darrell also bought $1M worth of stock in February, and Carucci took in $760,000 of shares last August.
    • Barnes (B) Aerospace and RTX’s Pratt & Whitney Canada announced a long-term extension of a repair services agreement during the recent MRO Americas show in Chicago.
    • Vodafone (VOD) reportedly plans to sell its entire $2.3 billion stake in India’s Indus Towers through stock market block deals next week in an effort to pay down debt.
    • Volkswagen (VWAGY) teamed up with solar panel installer Otovo to begin selling solar panels alongside electric car chargers in a move it says will cut costs for drivers by two fifths.

Please know that while I don’t yet personally own shares of all Cabot Turnaround Letter recommended stocks – including the stocks mentioned in this note – that will materially change over time.

Please feel free to share your ideas and suggestions for the podcast and the letter with an email to either me at mwarder@cabotwealth.com or to our friendly customer support team at support@cabotwealth.com. Due to the time and space limits we may not be able to cover every topic, but we will work to cover as much as possible or respond by email.

Portfolio

Market CapRecommendationSymbolRec. IssuePrice at Rec.Current Price *Current YieldRating and Price Target
Small capGannett CompanyGCIAug 20179.22 $ 4.37 -Buy (9)
Small capDuluth HoldingsDLTHFeb 20208.68 $ 3.59 -Buy (20)
Small capDril-QuipDRQMay 202128.28 $ 17.56 -Buy (44)
Small capKopin CorpKOPNAug 20232.03 $ 0.72 -Buy (5)
Small capAmmo, Inc.POWWOct 20231.99 $ 1.91 -Buy (3.50)
Mid capMattelMATMay 201528.43 $ 17.07 -Buy (38)
Mid capAdient plcADNTOct 201839.77 $ 25.23 -Buy (55)
Mid capXerox HoldingsXRXDec 202021.91 $ 13.457.4%Buy (33)
Mid capViatrisVTRSFeb 202117.43 $ 10.194.7%Buy (26)
Mid capTreeHouse FoodsTHSOct 202139.43 $ 35.08 -Buy (60)
Mid capThe Western Union Co.WUDec 202116.40 $ 11.997.8%Buy (25)
Mid capBrookfield ReinsuranceBNREJan 202261.32 $ 40.420.8%Buy (93)
Mid capPolarisPIIFeb 2022105.78 $ 76.653.4%Buy (160)
Mid capGoodyear Tire & RubberGTMar 202216.01 $ 11.47 -Buy (24.50)
Mid capJanus Henderson GroupJHGJun 202227.17 $ 32.544.8%Buy (67)
Mid capSix Flags EntertainmentSIXDec 202222.60 $ 28.85 -Buy (35)
Mid capKohl’s CorporationKSSMar 202332.43 $ 21.959.1%Buy (50)
Mid capFrontier Group HoldingsULCCApr 20239.49 $ 5.09 -Buy (15)
Mid capAdvance Auto PartsAAPSep 202364.08 $ 61.231.6%Buy (98)
Mid capMohawk IndustriesMHKJan 2024103.11 $ 111.35 -Buy (165)
Mid capVF CorporationVFCMar 202416.24 $ 13.692.6%Buy (25)
Mid capBarnes GroupBApr 202436.55 $ 38.521.6%Buy (55)
Mid capFirst Quantum MineralsFMApr 202415.93 $ 16.391.6%Buy (40)
Mid capUnited States SteelXJun 202437.12 $ 36.370.5%Buy (55)
Large capGeneral ElectricGEJul 2007304.96 $ 155.410.2%Buy (160)
Large capNokia CorporationNOKMar 20158.02 $ 3.613.4%Buy (12)
Large capMacy’sMJul 201633.61 $ 18.553.4%Buy (25)
Large capNewell BrandsNWLJun 201824.78 $ 6.923.4%Buy (39)
Large capVodafone Group plcVODDec 201821.24 $ 8.6811.8%Buy (32)
Large capBerkshire HathawayBRK.BApr 2020183.18 $ 405.39 -HOLD
Large capWells Fargo & CompanyWFCJun 202027.22 $ 57.282.4%HOLD (64)
Large capWestern Digital CorporationWDCOct 202038.47 $ 77.56 -HOLD (78)
Large capElanco Animal HealthELANApr 202127.85 $ 18.08 -Buy (44)
Large capWalgreens Boots AllianceWBAAug 202146.53 $ 15.376.5%Buy (70)
Large capVolkswagen AGVWAGYAug 202219.76 $ 11.967.7%Buy (70)
Large capWarner Bros DiscoveryWBDSep 202213.13 $ 7.29 -Buy (20)
Large capCapital One FinancialCOFNov 202296.25 $ 134.071.8%HOLD (150)
Large capBayer AGBAYRYFeb 202315.41 $ 7.247.5%Buy (24)
Large capTyson FoodsTSNJun 202352.01 $ 54.003.6%Buy (78)
Large capAgnico Eagle MinesAEMNov 202349.80 $ 63.812.3%Buy (75)
Large capFidelity Natl Info ServicesFISDec 202355.50 $ 75.662.7%Buy (85)
Large capBaxter InternationalBAXFeb 202438.79 $ 33.563.3%Buy (60)


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Matthew Warder is Cabot Wealth Network’s Chief Analyst of Cabot Turnaround Letter