Patience Precedes Profits
We regularly write about practicing patience with your winning stocks, and that will always be a key factor in making big money—unless you’re a savant, you’ll find that many of your trades will offset over time (small losses, break-evens, small wins, with...
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THE BIG IDEA
There are over 100 million people around the world suffering from obstructive sleep apnea (OSA), a condition in which a partially blocked airway prevents airflow to the lungs when a person is asleep. The typical length of a breathing pause is seconds...
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Aggravation-to-Profit Ratio: High
Everybody loves a persistent uptrend in growth stocks, especially us; we know how to find the winners and ride them for the majority of their advance. That’s where the real money is! And while we don’t ever root for a big we...
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The unemployment-stock market correlation is a picture-perfect inverse on a chart. Now that unemployment can't sink much lower, where do stocks go?
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Mixed Messages
The market is never easy to read, but the past week has been about as confusing as you’ll ever see. On one hand, leading stocks have been taken to the woodshed. Software and cybersecurity, which were two of the best performers this have...
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THE BIG IDEA
I have vague memories of the Electrolux vacuum salesman coming to our house to sell his wares. Over the last 40 or so years, the basic idea of enticing people to take advantage of a “deal” hasn’t changed much. But the and...
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Lots of Drama, But the Evidence is Unchanged
August is winding to a close, and we say good riddance—this month has packed in as many dramatic market-moving headlines as any we can remember due to developments in the U.S.-China trade battle, speeches from the Reserve...
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Play Some Defense
Usually, when the market is doing well, stocks aren’t affected much by the news of the day. That’s not to say individual stocks don’t get pushed around, but for the market as a whole, worrisome headline news usually goes the way water...
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THE BIG IDEA
Back in the late 1800s if you called a company for information you were routed through a telephone exchange and were able to speak with a person that could help.
The last switchboard operator for a hand-crank phone, Susan Glines, walked away her...
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Passing T-Storms—or Something More?
On this page of the last issue, we wrote “we think the near-term is a toss-up, at least when it comes to individual growth stocks— earnings season is always tricky, and let’s face it, many leaders have had great runs the...
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Mostly Sunny—with Possible T-Storms Along the Way
Ever since January 9, when the 2-to-1 Blastoff Indicator gave a rare buy signal just two weeks after the market’s major bottom, our greatest conviction has been that the overall market had likely entered a new bull that...
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The Odds Still Favor Higher Prices Ahead
It was a solid first half of 2019 for most major indexes and growth stocks. Despite a few knocks upside the head last week, our Model Portfolio finished June up nearly 22% on the year. In fact, the...
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THE BIG IDEA
A few years back the Institute of Medicine (IOM) published a report with an astounding conclusion:
Most people will experience at least one diagnostic error in their lifetime, sometimes with devastating consequences.
That’s not cool.
Diagnostic accuracy of some conditions is staggeringly bad. For the...
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Still Going According to Script
Back on January 31, we wrote that the market was basically following a perfect Hollywood-type script for a major market bottom—you had a three-month bear phase that produced huge oversold readings and massive pessimism near the low, followed by turn...
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THE BIG IDEA
On a whim, I recently reviewed our car insurance.
Something didn’t feel right, so I went online and got a quote from another provider. It turns out they could cover our two cars with essentially the same coverage – for half the was...
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Pieces are in Place
We’re about five weeks into this market correction, and it’s been a pretty nasty one when looking at the major indexes—from high to low, the S&P 500 has fallen as much as 7.6% and the Nasdaq by 10.8%, with small- mid-cap...
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Time Likely Needed
In The Perfect Speculator (written by Brad Koteshwar), fictional trader Boyd Hunt said, “Everything in the market takes time. Learning takes time. Making gains takes time. Even losing big takes time because the market will occasionally offer small crumbs to remove (We...
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Tariff Grenade
In last week’s update, we wrote, “We are seeing some short-term things to keep an eye on … earnings season has [shown] plenty of poor reactions and few solid gaps higher … sentiment has turned complacent … upside momentum has been waning and...
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THE BIG IDEA
One of the big challenges for organizations in the fast-moving digital age is to understand what’s going on in their businesses right now.
Look at Facebook (FB). For a company that specializes in harvesting detailed user data and selling targeted ads you’d they...
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Growth Stocks Perking Up
Back in our younger days when we were first learning the market’s inner workings, we viewed the stock market as relatively uniform, even on a short-term basis. Obviously, there were times when divergences popped up (usually near market tops), but the...
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