The overall market appears to be largely pricing in a continued trade war with China and a slowing global economy. It’s also pricing in a rate cut this month and more to follow. The indexes appear to want to forge higher provided trade don’t...
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Short-term, the market remains under pressure, buffeted by the selling of investors scared by the prospects of an extended tariff war, but long-term, the trend remains up, so we still see the current weakness as a normal correction.
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The economy is still solid and the market isn’t overpriced in this low interest rate world. The S&P 500 is only 2% higher than it was in January of 2018, 20 months ago. The stock market is still the best place to be. spikes...
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Short-term, the market remains under pressure, buffeted by the selling of investors scared by the prospects of an extended tariff war, but long-term, the trend remains up, so we still see the current weakness as a normal correction.
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Defense is the Best Offer
Here we are in the tenth year of an economic recovery and bull market. All recoveries end in recession and all bull markets end in bear markets. Both have already well exceeded the average historical life spans. In fact, is...
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The market seems to be rebounding and stabilizing after a tumultuous couple of weeks. The escalation of trade tensions, a sputtering global economy and talk of the next recession spooked investors. But as fear wanes investors realize that money has no place else go...
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This week is a still familiar story in the portfolio, with defensive stocks thriving and moving still higher.
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The market has undergone a radical personality transformation since I released the July issue last week. I’m not hitting the panic button, yet. But it is certainly a situation I will closely monitor.
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The Dog Days of Summer
We are in the dog days of summer, the hottest, most sultry days of the year. The expression “dog days” is an old one. In fact, it’s really old. The Romans used it.
It’s one of those expressions that everyone but...
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It’s the middle of the summer swoon. But there’s a lot going on in the market, namely earnings. Overall, this earnings season is shaping up to be positive but uninspired.
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Things look pretty darn good. The S&P 500 has broken the 3000 level for the first time ever and is within a whisker of its all-time high. The index is up over 9% since the beginning of June and 20% so far in 2019.
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The market is at new all-time highs. If there’s more bad news, it could go a lot higher. The biggest risk to the market right now is stronger-than-expected second-quarter GDP growth.
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The S&P 500 is at new all time highs as I write this. We have a market that wants to go higher, but it just keeps getting interrupted with negative headlines. It seems like we can’t get through a week without bad trade or...
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A Cautious View at the Midpoint of the Year
We’ve reached the midpoint of 2019, which means it’s a good time to take some stock of where we are and where we might be headed for the rest of the year.
In several ways, things pretty...
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The FOMC is meeting this week and investors can hardly contain their euphoric bliss. In-the-know pundits are already factoring in a rate cut next month and more before the end of the year. The market rallied strongly yesterday as it salivated over prospect.
...
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The market found its mojo after the Fed vaguely insinuated that it could conceivably consider cutting rates before the end of the year. But it looks like the momentum is gone.
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Amidst the uncertainty investors are gravitating toward dividend stocks. You’re in the right place at the right time.
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The Incredible Opportunity of 5G
Technology seems to provide us with new English words all the time. Nobody ever heard the terms “tweet” or “selfie” or “photobomb” just a few years ago. So many new terms are thrown around that it’s tempting to ignore of...
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A potential positive catalyst has turned distinctly negative—a swing and a miss. What does this mean for the market going forward?
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After the breakdown of trade negotiations with China and the escalation of tariffs, the market had a few ugly trading days, but now, it looks like we’re back in the saddle again.
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