Back in the Soup
During the past month, the way we thought about what was going on was that growth stocks had finally put themselves into a position to get going after a two and a half month stretch of tough, choppy trading. Instead narrow,...
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Things are still great. The market indexes are either making new all-time highs or within a whisker of them. The uptrend continues ahead of what is sure to be a booming economy in the months ahead.
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The market just keeps marching higher despite increasing skepticism.
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Seeing More Setups, but Still in the Spin Cycle
Two-plus months ago, speculation was running rampant and most growth stocks had made giant moves over the prior six to nine months. So when the sellers finally stepped up and cracked the intermediate-term uptrend in growth...
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The market still looks strong. But it’s getting a little harder to figure out.
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This is an unusual environment to say the least. The market is looking ahead to the highest GDP growth in decades as vaccines end the lockdowns and restrictions. And forecasts continue to rise. At the same time, trillions in government stimulus will flood the...
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Sellers Fading—but Will the Buyers Show Up?
We’re all about going with the evidence, and when it comes to growth stocks, the evidence was nearly uniformly negative (or at least not positive) for most of the past month. The vast majority of leading stocks, many...
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How about this market? Even with the technology sector still in a funk and the huge energy sector rally abating, the S&P 500 just made a new all-time high anyway.
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Energy and technology are no longer driving the market higher. As a result, the S&P 500 is kind of moving sideways.
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Less is More
In the real world, persistence is almost always associated with good things. If you’re a salesperson, you don’t give up when a few accounts turn you down; you keep selling until one customer bites. If your team is developing a new they...
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The market looks like it wants to change its stripes and morph into something else. But it’s not there yet.
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Has a speculative trading bubble formed? Or is normal rotation weighing on the stock market? Let's take a closer look.
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What a difference a week makes. It’s been a reversal of fortunes. Technology stocks are soaring and energy stocks are pulling back.
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Open to Anything, but Playing the Odds
Last year saw a ton of “wow, we haven’t seen this kind of unusual market action in decades!” situations, but instead of reverting back to normal behavior, 2021 has had plenty of tricks up its sleeve as The...
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A Superstar in a Financial Megatrend
This is a wild market. Yesterday’s perennial losers are today’s big winners. At the same time, long dominant technology stocks are taking a beating. Cyclical or open-up stocks are on fire, and for good reason.
The U.S. economy has exceeded...
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The market has gotten a little choppy and interest rates are to blame. At least, that’s what they say. The market indexes fell last week and have been all over the place so far this week.
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More Cracks Appear
At the start of November we saw a couple of blastoff-type indicators flash green (like the Three Day Thrust rule), and that turned out to be the start of a powerful intermediate-term advance. During the next two-plus months, progress was relative there...
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Earnings have been sensational. Reported earnings for S&P 500 companies have grown an average of 2% in the fourth quarter, compared to an expected -11%.
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Earnings have been sensational. Reported earnings for S&P 500 companies have grown an average of 2% in the fourth quarter, compared to an expected -11%.
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Simply Put: Very Impressive Action
Two weeks ago, the major indexes and some individual stocks began to flash abnormal action, a couple of key leaders were threatening to break down and some late-in-the-advance type of action (heavily shorted stocks going nuts) was occurring. Importantly, the...
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