Still the Same Story
Most times, the market environment is in a constant state of change, so when we report to you our latest thoughts on this page, there’s plenty to discuss—rotation among sectors, major moves in the indexes, earnings season or some big-picture that...
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The S&P 500 soared 46% from the March bottom in about 11 weeks, the fastest such rise in history. It couldn’t keep that up forever and it was bound to falter eventually.
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While there are growing signs of risk, the market is, as always, difficult to predict in the near term. If it does selloff, that’s okay. Stocks in this portfolio are well positioned to endure further hardship and thrive beyond this crisis. Another down in...
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Much More Good than Bad
We believe it was the late, great Marty Zweig who once wrote that, in the world of the market, you’re never going to get everything lined up in one direction—if you had 100 market timing indicators, to get 85 90...
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It’s been another crazy week in pandemic-land. After an interruption last week, the market seems to have resumed its ascent.
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A Cheap Price and a Safe, High-Yield
These are humbling times for market prognosticators. Who saw the coronavirus coming? Who saw the market surging 47% from the lows in late March?
The last several months have beautifully exemplified why no one can predict the market the...
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Believe What You See
Most of the time, the stock market and U.S. economy are in gear—there are always fits and starts, but as the economy expands, earnings generally grow and that contributes to a bull market. But it’s the times when the two moving...
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The S&P 500 is now up over 40% from the bottom in March and less than 10% from the all time high. Forget about a bear market. It’s not even a correction any more.
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The stock market rally is now more than two months old. The S&P 500 has rallied 35% since March 23 and is now just about 10% below the all-time high.
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The Perfect isn’t the Enemy of the (Very) Good
In a perfect world, everything would be lined up on the bull side of the fence. Market timing-wise, not only would our Cabot Trend Lines and Cabot Tides be bullish, but investor sentiment would be the...
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We are in the midst of a rally that has continued for about two months. This market seems to want to go higher. While the rally has slowed significantly from the initial bounce off the lows in March, the overall market is still an...
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Maybe Too Far Too Fast
Don’t look now but we are in the midst of a huge rally, and technically a bull market. The S&P 500 has soared more than 30% from the lows of March 23rd in just 50 days. The index is down...
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Growth Stocks vs. Everything Else
When stocks were falling apart in late February and early March, the market was obviously very uniform—that is, everything was moving together, in this case straight through the floor. Near the lows, for instance, less than 4% of stocks the...
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The S&P 500 has now regained more than half of what it lost in the bear market selloff. We are still in the midst of a six-week rally, although it has leveled off in the past few weeks. What can you expect going forward?
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As the market claws out from the coronavirus crash rubble, new leading growth stocks are emerging. But some former market darlings have fallen from grace.
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After falling 34% in record time, the S&P 500 has recouped more than half of the losses. As of this writing, the market is down just 15% from the February highs. The S&P 500 is now back to the same level it was this...
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So Far, So Good
It was exactly one month ago that the S&P hit its crash lows, down more than 35% from its highs five weeks prior. Given the selling extremes, it was normal to expect a bounce, which began right away. But during past...
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There is good news out there. The country is starting to reopen the economy. Sure, there is a political debate, and certain hot spots aren’t ready to reopen yet. But the urgent push to restart this economy is undeniable.
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The market is forward looking. It senses an end to this pandemic crisis and a reopening of the economy sooner rather than later. That’s good news. And I agree. The end-of-the-world pessimism that caused the market crash is being tempered. It’s a very thing...
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Key Test for the Market Coming Up
In the last issue, we wrote about some shorter-term signs of spring that had finally popped up for the market, including an encouraging positive divergence from the broad market as stocks collapsed. Throw in some horrid sentiment a..
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