Market Views
Mixed Signals
The $SPX chart is still bearish, because there are lower highs and lower lows on its chart. Oversold rallies typically carry from their lows up to and slightly above the declining 20-day moving average. That’s exactly what this rally has done far...
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Market Views
Pare the Weak
The market has been under severe selling pressure for six days since the tariff tussle got underway two weekends ago, with today’s broad declines enough to crack the intermediate-term uptrend that began back in January. Big picture, it’s still a market,...
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Market Views
Bullish, but Cautious
No basic changes for our overall views of a market capable of extending; but just in a guarded way. It measures higher, as its mostly fully-valued for big-cap leaders; hence vulnerable to shakeouts.
Equity markets, the Fed’s calmer monetary policy, generally to...
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Market Views
Testing Resistance
Technically, the market experienced a two-week consolidation sufficient to resolve an overbought condition. With the return of some indicators to oversold territory, the S&P 500 could once again be positioned to test resistance above the 2800 level.
Timer Digest, P.O. Box 1688, CT...
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Market Views
Caution Remains
Given that we’re fighting the 200-Day Moving Average; we can set-up for a bit of a pause. But it’s news-sensitive. So, for now, China may be a topic ‘beyond the interim pullback’ discussed as likely in February (or part of it, coming...
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Congrats to the Top Picks of 2018
It was a challenging year for the markets in 2018. Up a few hundred one day; down the next. The end result—just looking at raw numbers—was not too pretty, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 7.36%, Nasdaq...
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Market Views
Selling not as Widespread as you may Think
Selling Climaxes again outweighed Buying Climaxes but action was very light in both the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 with only one Buying and one Selling Climax in the Nasdaq 100 and only 4 each the...
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Market Views
Fear Index Up
The Dow sunk over 600 points yesterday, and the tech-rich Nasdaq also gave up triple digits, as Apple (AAPL) stock plummeted after another iPhone supplier warning. In addition, fellow blue chip Goldman Sachs (GS) suffered steep losses, pacing a broader decline...
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Market Views
Time to Trim Riskier Options
Most major market indexes were back on the move higher on Monday, led by real estate, consumer staples and utilities. Shares of technology companies were not participating, however. Nor were energy producers. And healthcare companies’ shares were largely combination...
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Impacts from interest rate hikes are felt throughout the fixed-income markets. Interest rates on new debt rises, but prices of existing bonds tend to decline.
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Market Views
Selling Elevated this Week
Among the Buying Climaxes (74), the Retailing sector featured heavily and among the Selling Climaxes (203) were Autos, Buildings and Precious Metals featured.
Buying climaxes take place when a stock makes a 12-month high, but closes the week with a They...
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Market Views
All Clear
The Russell 1000 version of the advance-decline line made a new high this week, see chart below. In the absence of other evidence, we take each new high in the advance-decline line as a sort of ‘all clear’ signal. We remain on...
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Mid-Year Top Picks
Congrats to the Top Picks 2018, Mid-Year
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained about 1.4% for the year, which as you can see from our Top Picks table above, doesn’t come close to the gains of the big winners that our selected...
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Market Views
Looking for Higher Prices
The most positive thing one can say about the $SPX chart is that the major downtrend lines have been broken, and the gap at 2750 has been filled. Beyond that, the bulls have had to be satisfied with small but...
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Market Views
Market Breadth Positive
Breadth was negative with -381 net advances on the NYSE and -244 net declines on the Nasdaq. Preliminary new highs on the NYSE were 119 and 32 new lows. The Nasdaq had 150 new highs and 31 new lows. It’s good...
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Market Views
Optimistic but Cautious
Last week was a constructive one for the market, with the major indexes tacking on gains and many potential leading stocks shaping up. Moreover, this builds on some other positive pieces of evidence, such as the positive divergences seen in broad...
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Market Views
Bullish, but Choppy
The relative strength of small stocks is trying to turn higher, while growth stocks continue to lead value by a solid margin. With the Value Line Geometric Index at 564.37, the Value Line Plan remains in the market with a sell...
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Market Views
Caution; Watch for Resistance
Indices have recovered; the S&P 500 encounters potential resistance at 2750.
The IT sector tests recent highs, Consumer Discretionary encounters top of medium-term relative range.
Our outlook remains cautious as indices rally into previous highs.
John Gray, Investors Intelligence, www.investorsintelligence.com, 914-632-0422, February 2018
The...
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Congrats to the Top Picks of 2017
Investors found a lot of extra gains in their 2017 stockings—all year long. Including dividends, the broad market gains were Dow Jones Industrial Average: 30.20%, S&P 500: 23.34% and the Nasdaq: 30.04%.
While those returns were stellar, our surpassed...
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Market Views
We’re in the Sweet Spot
We’re currently in the “sweet spot” of the intermediate-term rally which began last November. This is the point where upside momentum has become so established that stock prices can be pushed higher with only minimal effort on the of...
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