Markets steadied this week as the political situation became clearer and prospects for Covid-19 vaccines becoming available in the first half of 2021 seem more promising. The Explorer portfolio performed well this week, with a couple of ideas breaking out to new highs.
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It appears that we will have a sharply divided government in Washington, which Wall Street initially is taking as a positive. A better way of putting it is that it could have been much worse for investors.
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Stocks trading on U.S. markets faced some resistance as hopes for some sort of stimulus bill fade and as mixed earnings report begin rolling in. A key question is whether the pandemic boom stocks will have the revenue and earnings growth to support sharp...
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The Explorer portfolio had another positive week, as the market is hostage to enacting another politically difficult stimulus package. Count me as skeptical. Stay-at-home stocks are leading the market while economic-recovery stocks struggle.
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That tech stocks would cool a bit has been one of my key themes over the past few issues; and September has seen it come to pass.
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Markets were abuzz this week with talk of a “tech meltdown,” with Tesla (TSLA) getting hit rather hard on Tuesday, falling more than 20% before bouncing back 10% yesterday.
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The Cabot Global Stocks Explorer portfolio had another good week, with four stocks all making major moves.
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2020 has surely been one for the record books—the sharpest selloff in history from a record high to a bear market and then the sharpest rebound in history from a bear market to a new record high.
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Markets are showing great resiliency as the S&P 500 nears a record and stocks have risen all but one day in August. Optimism about an eventual stimulus bill and the prospect of declining Covid-19 cases and a vaccine are still supporting the economy markets...
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Earnings reports have been mixed and market activity muted this week, but today the four technology giants will report after the market closes. Germany reported that its economy contracted the most on record, shrinking 10.1% in the second quarter.
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The Cabot Global Stocks Explorer portfolio did well this past week even though markets were a bit choppy, in line with mixed data and expectations about how fast growth will return.
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As we move into the third quarter, analysts at Goldman Sachs write that their baseline forecast is for the S&P 500 to gain 5% in the second half of the year. In their “vaccine upside” scenario, stocks rise by 14% from here; in “virus...
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U.S. and global markets continue to be fueled by substantial amounts of liquidity washing over the world. According to Lipper, the amount in American money market funds has reached $4.6 trillion. This is a record going back to 1992.
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Why are markets continuing to move upward in the midst of economic and political upheaval? The short answer is don’t fight the Fed, which has made it abundantly clear that it will do anything necessary to keep this economy and market moving.
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Despite a Chinese economy that has grown three times faster than America’s every year over the past three decades, it has been a bit of a challenge to consistently make money in Chinese stocks.
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The S&P 500 paused its recovery over the past week, moving sideways over the past five days. Here is my take on the market.
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HOMEBUILDERS: KNOCKING ON THE DOOR OF OPPORTUNITY
In this Issue:
Homebuilder Stocks
Insider Buying After the Market's Lows
Recommendations:
Buy: Lamb Weston (LW)
Price Target Changes and Sells
Performance
Like most consumer industries, residential housing construction is declining sharply in the wake of the Covid-19 shutdown. One indicator: single family housing fell...
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What we may see developing in markets is a rather broad trading range – say from 21,000 to 25,000 in the Dow. This could be our reality until we work our way through the real but uncertain impact of the shutdown on the economy.
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Most positions are up 5%-6% for the week, with a couple of exceptions.
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In such an environment it’s easy to assume the worst and miss the flipside of the equation – great companies trading at prices that just a month ago we would have considered incredible. Market volatility and uncertainty are creating great opportunities.
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