More Cracks Appear
At the start of November we saw a couple of blastoff-type indicators flash green (like the Three Day Thrust rule), and that turned out to be the start of a powerful intermediate-term advance. During the next two-plus months, progress was relative there...
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Earnings have been sensational. Reported earnings for S&P 500 companies have grown an average of 2% in the fourth quarter, compared to an expected -11%.
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The stock market is clearly accelerating the “reopening” trade. Small cap and cyclical stocks as well as commodity prices are surging, interest rates continue to tick up (the 10-year Treasury yield is now 1.38%, up from 0.92% at year-end), and novel financial vehicles SPACs,...
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With this week’s recommendation, I’m swinging back to the more conservative side with a solid technology company poised for big gains from the 5G communications rollout.
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The market took another hit this morning, but like yesterday, the major indexes have found support as the day has progressed—just after 3 pm EST, the Dow was down 70 points while the Nasdaq was off 66 points. Part of the reason for recent...
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Earnings have been sensational. Reported earnings for S&P 500 companies have grown an average of 2% in the fourth quarter, compared to an expected -11%.
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With the stock market regularly surging to record highs, it may seem like an unusual time to focus on valuation. After all, many stocks are remarkably expensive on traditional measures, and even somewhat lofty on non-traditional measures. But valuation still matters, especially if market...
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This week’s recommendation is a small company with no earnings, minimal revenues and a lot of competition.
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Simply Put: Very Impressive Action
Two weeks ago, the major indexes and some individual stocks began to flash abnormal action, a couple of key leaders were threatening to break down and some late-in-the-advance type of action (heavily shorted stocks going nuts) was occurring. Importantly, the...
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Last week, we outlined four ingredients of a market bubble that were usefully outlined in a recently published book1”and briefly described how it clearly appears that our stock market is in a bubble. These ingredients include easy trading of assets, cheap and easy rising...
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Today I’m swinging back to pure growth with a very interesting stock that has a great story—and no direct competition.
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The quick rebound in the major indexes and many growth stocks this week has been very encouraging—it doesn’t completely clear the air from some of the abnormal action last week, but it’s definitely a plus. We remain mostly bullish, though we continue to entries...
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The fourth quarter earnings season is well under way and the results have been somewhat spectacular so far, and much better than expected.
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The market’s main trend remains up, and thus I continue to recommend that you be heavily invested.
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Unexpected Events Occur Frequently
One of the unique things about the market (and a big reason so many investors have trouble) is that it doesn’t follow the usual “bell curve” of probabilities that dominates the real world. For instance, given that the market’s average is...
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The market is down today with the Dow falling 400 points so far. It might get uglier before the day is over.
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Intel’s recently publicized struggles with its own chip production highlight the trajectory of this story. The company has been unable to successfully transition to leading-edge manufacturing technologies, and is seriously considering outsourcing to companies like Taiwan Semiconductor. Intel has long been the industry’s in...
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Overall, the market remains very healthy. Yes, sentiment is a bit high, and yes, valuations are a bit high, but I learned long ago not to fight the trend.
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Not much has changed with the market’s picture—most stocks (especially cyclical stocks) are very strong, and we’re happy that the Model Portfolio is off to a good start this year after a great 2020. However, things are also quite frothy, few stocks are attractive...
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The market is off to a good start this year and anticipating wonderful things for 2021.
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