Bad News, Good News
Our last issue was titled “Burden of Proof is on the Bulls,” and since then, the buyers have failed to step up to the plate, leading to a worsening of the overall evidence—earlier this week, our Cabot Tides flipped to bearish...
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After pulling back over 8% from the high, the market is having trouble finding any traction. And the selling may not be over.
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Through most of the summer, investors had become increasingly confident about the strength and direction of the economic recovery, the likelihood of the arrival of several promising Covid vaccines, another round of federal economic stimulus and other favorable indicators.
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From Cabot Top Ten Trader
Today's weakness cracked the market's intermediate-term uptrend, though because we've been cautious for a while, we're not changing our overall viewpoint—you should be holding some cash and going slow as the market and leaders work through this correction. That we...
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Technically, the market is now in an intermediate-term downtrend, which tells us that additional defensive measures would be prudent. In the very short term, however, I expect a bounce from today’s high-profile decline, so I’m mainly holding.
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The market and big-winning growth stocks from this year remain iffy—today’s drop put our Cabot Tides on the fence and many growth stocks are still in a rough patch.
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The raging bull market took a breather. The S&P 500 actually pulled back 7% from the high at the peak of the recent Labor Day selloff. But that seems to be over. The market has since regained some traction and appears to be an...
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Election season is now in full swing. In less than seven weeks, or only 49 days, the country will select its next president, representatives from all 435 House congressional districts, 35 senators and 12 state governors.
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Overall, our market-timing indicators remain bullish, and thus the prescription for investing success is to maintain a diversified portfolio of healthy stocks.
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Burden of Proof is On the Bulls
At heart, we’re students of the market, which means one of the key tools we use is spotting the difference between normal, run-of-the-mill action and abnormal, noteworthy action, the latter of which is what usually causes us make...
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The recent (and ongoing?) tech momentum reversal appears to be due to a variety of concerns ranging from doubt about valuations, worries about the pace of the economy’s recovery, the lack of another stimulus package and slowing growth in the Federal Reserve’s asset purchases.
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Overall, our market-timing indicators remain bullish, and thus the prescription for investing success is to maintain a diversified portfolio of healthy stocks.
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The overall market remains in an uptrend, but we’re seeing more and more unusual action among individual growth names, and thus are making moves mostly on a stock-by-stock basis.
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Labor Day marks the start of a new year of sorts and a rebirth of seriousness in the collective psyche. The other side of Labor Day is a new ballgame, when investors shake off the apathy of summer and refocus with intensity.
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The bull market remains in full force, even as various signs (sentiment and charts) caution that a correction is increasingly likely.
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Has the “Re-Rotation” Begun?
When our last issue went to press, growth stocks were under pressure. It wasn’t an epic disaster, but there had clearly been a change in character, with the initial market leaders (those that burst to new highs in April or May)...
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These are the dog days of summer. It’s a rare time of year when a certain degree of slackery is not only tolerated, but expected. People tend to focus on enjoying the waning days of summer. More serious issues and considerations get postponed after...
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Starting next Monday, August 31, before the market opens, the Dow Jones Industrial Average will have a new look.
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The market’s strength has been very impressive, and our market-timing indicators continue to tell us that the market will be higher in the months ahead.
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After a brief decline in early June, the market has resumed the uptrend that began on March 24th. It has been a spectacular 55% rally in less than five months.
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