I expect to be adding and removing stocks from these portfolios in 2020, more frequently than usual. That’s because when a stock market recovers from a big drop, stocks tend to get stuck in trading ranges, advancing in fits and starts.
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After falling over 30% in record time, the market has had a nice rebound. In less than a week the market jumped 15% from the lows. It has since stabilized somewhat with less volatility. While the worst may be over, I don’t think out...
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In such an environment it’s easy to assume the worst and miss the flipside of the equation – great companies trading at prices that just a month ago we would have considered incredible. Market volatility and uncertainty are creating great opportunities.
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The market doesn’t know how long this will last. And that’s why it hasn’t been able to find a bottom. But there has been some very encouraging news in the past week.
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The economy has fallen into a recession. The official economic statistics are not at our doorsteps yet – two quarters of falling GDP – but it’s fairly obvious that American business has gone into hibernation for at least a few months.
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Fear of the spread of a new virus has devolved into an economic disaster, at least in the short term.
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Well, we’re in the thick of it. New citywide, statewide and national mandates are being pronounced daily, the stock market fell dramatically, my two daughters were sent home from college, three close relatives lost jobs/projects, and one close relative is a basket case potentially...
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Ironically, China’s blue-chip CSI 300 Index hit its highest point this week since February 2018.
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Monday’s market downturn was a bit breathtaking. First we had a stock market that was overdue for a pullback. Then the coronavirus hit, harming the Chinese economy, which in turn harms every business that sells products and services in China and manufactures products China...
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This has been about as ugly a couple of weeks in the market as you will ever see. On a closing basis, the market hit a low on February 28 and was down 12.5% from the February 19 highs. By total points lost, was...
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This week is a reminder that markets don’t always go up. The big surprise was that it took so long for global markets to wake up to the threat.
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Since January, this market had been merrily whistling along through the coronavirus risk. It was enough to cause a selloff for a day or two but not enough to derail the bull move to new highs that had been in place since early This...
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The COVID-19 problem, as it pertains to the U.S. stock markets, is compounded by the fact that the S&P 500 index had risen about 12% since October.
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It is likely that a pullback in the market, as measured by the indexes, is increasingly likely in the near term. But that would be healthy and welcome. And it would set up things better for the rest of the year.
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The coronavirus continues to make headlines, with this week’s victim being Apple Inc. (AAPL) which announced that 2020 revenues are going to take a hit from the work stoppages emanating from China.
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The markets are demonstrating impressive resiliency in the face of the coronavirus. You can’t fight the market but I remain a bit more guarded since this disruption will have to hit profits down the road for some companies.
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Here’s how I handle my personal stock portfolio when I’m expecting a market correction. When I sell a stock, I put part of the capital in the money market fund, and I reinvest part of the capital into an attractive stock opportunity.
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But the market is rising back faster than it fell. The solid economy and low interest rates are continuing to drive stocks higher, for now.
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The market seems to be a bit complacent given the risks of the virus spreading rapidly in China and elsewhere but we need to remain a bit cautious. There is some suspicion that China is downplaying the numbers.
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News of the spread from China of a brand new virus roiled markets earlier this week. Although the market has bounced back somewhat, I don’t think we’re out of the woods yet by a darn sight.
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