Following last week’s big decline, the market has shown some resilience, and we continue to see a growing number of stocks showing great resilience. Even so, our Cabot Tides green light from two weeks ago has disappeared and the longer-term Cabot Trend Lines down,...
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From Cabot Growth Investor
What’s definitely true is that the intermediate-term trend isn’t pointed up; all major indexes are still below their 25-day moving averages, even after today’s bounce. And, longer-term, our Cabot Trend Lines remain clearly negative. Throw in the fact that few stocks hitting...
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This has been one of the wilder weeks we can remember, with huge swings up (Monday), down (Tuesday), reversals (Thursday) and big overnight movements (last night and this morning).
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Sellers Still Lurking
The first three and a half weeks of October were brutal, with the S&P 500 (down 11%) and Nasdaq (down 14%) cascading significantly, turning both our Cabot Tides and Cabot Trend Lines bearish as we raised a boatload of cash. But those...
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After a terrible couple of months, we finally got some legitimate good news this week—our intermediate-term trend model flashed a green light on Thursday, telling us the intermediate-term trend for the major indexes is turning up.
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Remain defensive, but stay tuned as we could get a Cabot Tides buy signal as early as tomorrow if the market cooperates. Tonight, we’ll stand pat with our huge (90%-plus) cash position, but we’ll send out a bulletin if we get a green light.
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As we mentioned a week ago, there’s no Top Ten issue this week, which is well enough since the decline of the past couple of weeks has left fewer and fewer stocks in good shape. Even so, we wanted to write up a (mostly...
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Over the Falls
During the past few weeks, we’ve seen huge up days, crushing down days, dramatic reversals (like today’s), big earnings gaps (up and down) and a slew of big-font headlines ranging from U.S.-China trade rumors, views from Fed members concerning rate hikes, resignations...
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After a couple of generally constructive weeks, the sellers were back at it, with the S&P 500 (1.9%) and Nasdaq (2.5%) currently sitting with good-sized losses this week.
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There’s been plenty of volatility in recent weeks, but nothing has really changed with the market (trends are down) or our stance (highly defensive). We’re not heading to our Panic Room, though, as a strong rally from here could actually produce a Cabot buy...
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While volatility remains extreme, the market had another constructive week. Individual stocks have done well, too, thanks to a combination of buoyant earnings reactions and Wednesday’s booming advance. That said, the intermediate-term trend remains down but all indexes we track have popped back their...
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Positive Action, but Need to See More
After a hellacious October that saw many indexes, sectors and stocks crash over a three-week period, the past week and half has been a welcome relief. With today’s solid post-election rally, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have about...
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After a scary plunge on Monday, the market has finally gotten off its knees and staged its first solid bounce since the meltdown began in early October.
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The market has finally gotten off its knees, but our two main trend-following indicators are bearish and most stocks are still in rough shape. I advise you to remain patient and defensive but we could nibble on a stock if the market continues power...
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When October 2018 goes into the history books, it will probably be described as a rolling crash—it started with glamour stocks, bled into the Nasdaq and quickly infected the rest of the market.
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Trends are Down Until Proven Otherwise
When volatility picks up in the market, often after a sharp decline, investors are bombarded with predictions, many of them dramatically bullish (this is the buying opportunity of the century!) or bearish (another global financial crisis has begun!), in...
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The market has been all over the place this week, but net-net, the indexes are posting modest gains.
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The market has been bouncing decently during the past four trading days, but our Cabot Tides remain clearly negative and most growth stocks are still in steep corrections. Longer-term we're still optimistic the bull market will eventually resume, but until then, we'll be No...
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The market is having a solid morning today, but this comes on the heels of a hellacious selloff that began the first day of October, with leading growth stocks getting hit first, which then dragged down the Nasdaq, which then infected the rest the...
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Downpours
September was definitely a month of yellow flags—we saw lots of rotation out of growth stocks, two severe bouts of selling in leaders, and lots of sloppy, volatile action, which often signifies distribution after a long run. As we wrote in our last there...
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