Just Because It’s Unusual Doesn’t Mean It’s Wrong
The year is just over two weeks old, but we’ve already been subject to the Iran attacks, a Phase 1 trade deal with China, and soon, an impeachment trial in the Senate. Accompanying those are countless pieces...
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Remain bullish, but keep your wits about you. The market remains very strong, and we’re glad to see many of our stocks that consolidated during December come to life in recent days.
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Happy New Year
The calendar has flipped to 2020, but nothing much has changed with the market’s evidence. On a longer-term basis, most primary indicators, such as our Cabot Trend Lines and Cabot Tides, continue to look great, and we’ve written numerous times a..
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Remain bullish. The bull market rolls on, and while there are legitimate shorter-term yellow flags (a good reason to be choosy on the buy side), the big-picture outlook is solid. We have no changes in the Model Portfolio today.
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The Bull Market Rolls into 2020
First and foremost, this being our last official issue of the year, I want to wish you and yours a very Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays. We’ll have a brief, eggnog-laden update next week, along with any bulletins needed.
As...
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Remain bullish, while keep your eyes open as some stocks have hit potholes. The market itself is in good shape, though we continue to think some news-driven ups and downs are likely in the near term.
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A Normal Breather
As the market pushed sharply higher following its early-October low (10% or so in the S&P 500, 12%-plus in the Nasdaq), rising seven out of eight weeks, the worries of the world (trade wars, slowing economic growth, even impeachment) were slowly As...
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Remain bullish. The market and leading stocks continue to act well, and while a pullback, shakeout or some other potholes could occur in the short-term, the odds continue to favor higher prices over time.
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Mostly Sunny, Chance of Passing Showers
Seven weeks ago, the market was getting hit and growth stocks were looking awful. We were definitely cautious, but on this page we also wrote the following:
“We don’t want to sound too negative. It’s still a bull market, we...
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Market: Great. Growth Stocks: Just OK
Ever since the indexes turned on a dime at the beginning of this year, we’ve been leaning bullish on the general market, and in recent months, even as things have chopped around and there’s been an avalanche of we’ve...
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Continue to put money to work. The market and individual stocks are acting very well, and while there are some short-term yellow flags out there (complacency, overbought, etc.), the fact that stocks haven’t given up much ground is encouraging.
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Put a little money to work. There are still issues with many growth stocks and plenty of crosscurrents, but the overall market is looking good and we have seen some earnings-induced breakouts.
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Less Remains More
Way back in the day the late, great Joe Granville once said that “the market is the train, and I’m the caboose,” which is a good summation of our general philosophy over the years. At heart, we’re trend followers, getting heavily when...
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While we’re growing more optimistic that the next big move will be up, we continue to advise a cautious stance as the market’s numerous crosscurrents continue—the indexes are still range bound, there’s rotation under the surface and relatively few stocks are hitting new highs.
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Patience Precedes Profits
We regularly write about practicing patience with your winning stocks, and that will always be a key factor in making big money—unless you’re a savant, you’ll find that many of your trades will offset over time (small losses, break-evens, small wins, with...
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Be cautious. The selling pressure has spread to the rest of the market, with the recent decline cracking a bunch of stocks and causing our Cabot Tides to turn negative.
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Aggravation-to-Profit Ratio: High
Everybody loves a persistent uptrend in growth stocks, especially us; we know how to find the winners and ride them for the majority of their advance. That’s where the real money is! And while we don’t ever root for a big we...
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Stocks rallied early in the day but then skidded after that, closing not that far from where they started. The environment remains mixed, with the market looking fine but growth stocks a bit sluggish.
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Mixed Messages
The market is never easy to read, but the past week has been about as confusing as you’ll ever see. On one hand, leading stocks have been taken to the woodshed. Software and cybersecurity, which were two of the best performers this have...
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Lots of Drama, But the Evidence is Unchanged
August is winding to a close, and we say good riddance—this month has packed in as many dramatic market-moving headlines as any we can remember due to developments in the U.S.-China trade battle, speeches from the Reserve...
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