More Cracks Appear
At the start of November we saw a couple of blastoff-type indicators flash green (like the Three Day Thrust rule), and that turned out to be the start of a powerful intermediate-term advance. During the next two-plus months, progress was relative there...
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The market took another hit this morning, but like yesterday, the major indexes have found support as the day has progressed—just after 3 pm EST, the Dow was down 70 points while the Nasdaq was off 66 points. Part of the reason for recent...
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Simply Put: Very Impressive Action
Two weeks ago, the major indexes and some individual stocks began to flash abnormal action, a couple of key leaders were threatening to break down and some late-in-the-advance type of action (heavily shorted stocks going nuts) was occurring. Importantly, the...
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The quick rebound in the major indexes and many growth stocks this week has been very encouraging—it doesn’t completely clear the air from some of the abnormal action last week, but it’s definitely a plus. We remain mostly bullish, though we continue to entries...
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Unexpected Events Occur Frequently
One of the unique things about the market (and a big reason so many investors have trouble) is that it doesn’t follow the usual “bell curve” of probabilities that dominates the real world. For instance, given that the market’s average is...
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Not much has changed with the market’s picture—most stocks (especially cyclical stocks) are very strong, and we’re happy that the Model Portfolio is off to a good start this year after a great 2020. However, things are also quite frothy, few stocks are attractive...
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Taking Things on a Stock-by-Stock Basis
We believe one of the main reasons our system has proved durable is that it doesn’t focus on just one or two factors, but incorporates things from different angles. For instance, when selecting stocks, we’re not only looking charts...
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The indexes are having another good day today, led by growth stocks this time—as of 3:30pm, the Dow is up 253 points and the Nasdaq is up a big 322 points.
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Happy New Year
It’s been a long, strange 12 months, but it’s also been a very prosperous period, at least for growth investors—with one day left in the year, the Model Portfolio is up around 60%, easily besting most major indexes. Happily, that builds our...
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The market is relatively flat so far this week as more traders head home for the holidays. Coming into Wednesday, most major indexes were within 1% (up or down) of where they closed last week, though many growth stocks have picked up steam.
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Into the Homestretch
We’re past the halfway point in December, which means many of us have other things on our minds, be it getting out the snow shovel (a foot of snow hit the ground here last night), buying last-minute gifts or perfecting your eggnog-based...
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Stick with the game plan of putting some money to work as opportunities arise. While the near-term path is a bit of a tossup, the major evidence remains bullish, and we’re seeing more and more leaders get moving in recent weeks.
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Mostly Sunny, Chance of Showers
In the last issue, we wrote about the myriad crosscurrents that were still being seen—while the major indexes looked good, the day-to-day rotation was wild among sectors and themes, with news-driven moves the norm for a few weeks. But also...
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Remain optimistic but pick your stocks carefully. The overall market is in good shape, and there’s definitely more good than bad among individual stocks, though it’s also tricky, with plenty of rotation and news-driven moves.
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Wild—but Positive—Action
The healthiest market environment is generally one where most participants are rowing in the same direction—the vast majority of stocks and sectors glide higher (with the occasional pullback or shakeout, of course) as investor perception of the future steadily improves. Even if broad...
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Stay cautious for now as we wait to see whether growth stocks can find their footing (which they’ve done for a couple days in a row now).
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Believe What You See
There are usually a couple of times each year where the market really messes with people, catching the vast majority of investors off-guard. (Remember the old saw: The market does what it has to do to fool the most investors One...
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Be cautious. Growth stocks have been under pressure since early/mid-October, and our Cabot Tides buy signal has fallen by the wayside.
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Riding the Bucking Bronco
Investing in general, and growth stock investing in particular, tends to be very streaky—while many would love for a steady, low-stress increase in their portfolios, that’s not how the world usually works. Instead you get periods of time when the gushes...
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The market took a hit today, which wasn’t totally unexpected; overall, the damage was contained, with the Cabot Tides remaining positive and most growth stocks still in good shape
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