With the market continuing to weaken we’ll move incrementally more into defensive mode until the smoke begins to clear and we can better distinguish the stocks that will emerge as the next leaders. While there is a lot we could say about just any...
C3.ai (AI) reported Q4 results yesterday – its first as a public company – that came in ahead of expectations but didn’t offer enough about future growth to support the stock’s valuation. Revenue in the quarter was up 19% to $49.1 million while subscription jumped...
Arcosa (ACA) released an uninspiring report on Wednesday that was particularly ill-timed given yesterday’s market retreat. The company missed across the board. Revenue was up 2.7% to $459 million, missing by $4.7 million while adjusted EPS of $0.33 missed by $0.08. Guidance for 2021 missed...
More Cracks Appear
At the start of November we saw a couple of blastoff-type indicators flash green (like the Three Day Thrust rule), and that turned out to be the start of a powerful intermediate-term advance. During the next two-plus months, progress was relative there...
Upwork (UPWK) reported Q4 results yesterday that surpassed expectations on the top and bottom lines. Revenue was up 32% to $106.2 million (beating by $8.8 million) while adjusted EPS of $0.06 beat by $0.06. Guidance for 2021 also surpassed consensus.
APi Group (APG)
Growth & Value – Industrial Services
Rapid Growth – Software
Development Stage – EV Designer
Rapid Growth – Software
Rapid Growth – Resale/Social Platform
Make Hay While the Sun Is Shining
This has been a phenomenal for...
Datadog (DDOG) reported Q4 results yesterday afternoon that surpassed expectations but were light in terms of 2021 EPS guidance. Revenue was up 56% to $178 million (beating by $14 million) while adjusted EPS of $0.06 beat by $0.04. Revenue guidance for 2021 of $825 to...
Simply Put: Very Impressive Action
Two weeks ago, the major indexes and some individual stocks began to flash abnormal action, a couple of key leaders were threatening to break down and some late-in-the-advance type of action (heavily shorted stocks going nuts) was occurring. Importantly, the...
Lyft (LYFT) reported Q4 2020 earnings after the close yesterday and the results were better than expected even though the numbers look just terrible (thanks pandemic!). Revenue fell 44% to $570 million (but beat expectations by $9 million) while adjusted EPS was -$0.58, $0.05 than...
Nuance (NUAN) reported Q1 fiscal 2021 results yesterday that beat expectations on the top and bottom lines. That said, the numbers don’t look that great due to a large, non-strategic coding government contract that did not renew (management previously disclosed on the Q4 fiscal conference...
As earnings season gets into gear we have a few updates on positions that have reported this week. Stepping back and looking holistically at our portfolio, which currently has 34 positions, we’re going to view earnings season as an opportunity to prune our a..
The quick rebound in the major indexes and many growth stocks this week has been very encouraging—it doesn’t completely clear the air from some of the abnormal action last week, but it’s definitely a plus. We remain mostly bullish, though we continue to entries...
Unexpected Events Occur Frequently
One of the unique things about the market (and a big reason so many investors have trouble) is that it doesn’t follow the usual “bell curve” of probabilities that dominates the real world. For instance, given that the market’s average is...
It’s hard to say if this round of fun with Virgin Galactic (SPCE) is beginning to unwind or if the stock will be up 20% tomorrow (to pick a random number). However, judging by the action in many of the most speculative short squeeze stocks (GME,...
Not much has changed with the market’s picture—most stocks (especially cyclical stocks) are very strong, and we’re happy that the Model Portfolio is off to a good start this year after a great 2020. However, things are also quite frothy, few stocks are attractive...
Growth & Value – Infrastructure & Energy
Castle Biosciences (CSTL)
Rapid Growth – Genetic Testing
Growth – Biosimulation Software
Rapid Growth – Ridesharing
Rapid Growth – DTC Mattresses
As we wade deeper into winter here in Northeast,...