More Cracks Appear
At the start of November we saw a couple of blastoff-type indicators flash green (like the Three Day Thrust rule), and that turned out to be the start of a powerful intermediate-term advance. During the next two-plus months, progress was relative there...
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The stock market is clearly accelerating the “reopening” trade. Small cap and cyclical stocks as well as commodity prices are surging, interest rates continue to tick up (the 10-year Treasury yield is now 1.38%, up from 0.92% at year-end), and novel financial vehicles SPACs,...
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Judging by some headlines and my Twitter feed, you would think the markets are in meltdown mode. But I just checked and the S&P 500 is only 1.9% down from its all-time high. And the Russell Micro-Cap Index is down 4.0% from its high...
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With this week’s recommendation, I’m swinging back to the more conservative side with a solid technology company poised for big gains from the 5G communications rollout.
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Some investors are bracing for the possibility that all this will lead to a surge in the cruelest tax of all – inflation.
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With the stock market regularly surging to record highs, it may seem like an unusual time to focus on valuation. After all, many stocks are remarkably expensive on traditional measures, and even somewhat lofty on non-traditional measures. But valuation still matters, especially if market...
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The market continues to perform incredibly well with the S&P 500 at an all-time high. And there continues to be signs of froth. The latest data point that I’ve found is the average SPAC is trading at a 26.4% premium to its cash value.
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This week’s recommendation is a small company with no earnings, minimal revenues and a lot of competition.
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Simply Put: Very Impressive Action
Two weeks ago, the major indexes and some individual stocks began to flash abnormal action, a couple of key leaders were threatening to break down and some late-in-the-advance type of action (heavily shorted stocks going nuts) was occurring. Importantly, the...
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Last week, we outlined four ingredients of a market bubble that were usefully outlined in a recently published book1”and briefly described how it clearly appears that our stock market is in a bubble. These ingredients include easy trading of assets, cheap and easy rising...
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In light of the shrinking value of the U.S. dollar, let's break down two of its best, highest-flying hedges: bitcoin vs. silver.
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Today I’m swinging back to pure growth with a very interesting stock that has a great story—and no direct competition.
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Today, I have a new recommendation that links three high profile growth trends: SPACs, e-commerce and internet gaming, and mobile payments.
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What a wild week! Even though I’m not long or short GameStop (GME), it was hard to take my eyes off its stock over the past week. There are a lot of different takes on what it all means. Some believe it’s a sign reckless...
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The market’s main trend remains up, and thus I continue to recommend that you be heavily invested.
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Unexpected Events Occur Frequently
One of the unique things about the market (and a big reason so many investors have trouble) is that it doesn’t follow the usual “bell curve” of probabilities that dominates the real world. For instance, given that the market’s average is...
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Intel’s recently publicized struggles with its own chip production highlight the trajectory of this story. The company has been unable to successfully transition to leading-edge manufacturing technologies, and is seriously considering outsourcing to companies like Taiwan Semiconductor. Intel has long been the industry’s in...
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As I mentioned last week, the stock market is off to a great start with the S&P 500 at an all-time high. However, it’s important to remember that usually the market is choppy in February and March in the first year of a party...
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The FAANGs are the biggest growth stocks on the market today. What are the companies most likely to be the next FAANG stocks?
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Overall, the market remains very healthy. Yes, sentiment is a bit high, and yes, valuations are a bit high, but I learned long ago not to fight the trend.
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