This has been a good year for the market. With only weeks left in 2019, the S&P 500 is more than 23% higher for the year. Some of that is the undoing of the overselling at the end of last year. But the has...
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The market mood is always changing. Just last week the market indexes were forging new all-time highs and cyclical stocks were the best performers. What a difference a week makes.
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The market still has an upward bias, albeit less so than the past couple of weeks. Investors are starting to sniff out 2020.
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The economy is still solid and the trade war thaw is taking away a big headline risk for the market.
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The market seems to want to move higher, albeit slowly and with rude interruptions from the headlines. The S&P 500 is within less than 1% off the all-time high set in July, although the index has been somewhat range-bound since June.
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The market is once again flirting with all time highs. The good week was driven largely by the announcement of a partial trade deal with China. But the main event will be earnings going forward.
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The indexes are near all-time highs in what is now the oldest bull market and recovery in history. And risks are mounting. There’s the trade war with China, the sputtering global economy, weaker growth at home and impeachment. The market is really struggling muster...
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October is a historically ominous month for stocks. After all, it is the month of the 1929 stock market crash and the 1987 crash. After a rough May and August we step into the mother of all jinxed months with a terrible start.
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Profit from the American Energy Export Boom
One of the constants in life is change. The winds of change seem to swoop in and disrupt things we mistakenly consider permanent. Understanding exactly when and where such events occur is crucial to successful investing.
One such change...
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It’s one of those special days in the market where the Fed will make a highly anticipated decision on interest rates. It is widely expected that the Central Bank will cut the Fed Funds rate by 0.25%.
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The overall market appears to be largely pricing in a continued trade war with China and a slowing global economy. It’s also pricing in a rate cut this month and more to follow. The indexes appear to want to forge higher provided trade don’t...
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The economy is still solid and the market isn’t overpriced in this low interest rate world. The S&P 500 is only 2% higher than it was in January of 2018, 20 months ago. The stock market is still the best place to be. spikes...
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Defense is the Best Offer
Here we are in the tenth year of an economic recovery and bull market. All recoveries end in recession and all bull markets end in bear markets. Both have already well exceeded the average historical life spans. In fact, is...
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The market seems to be rebounding and stabilizing after a tumultuous couple of weeks. The escalation of trade tensions, a sputtering global economy and talk of the next recession spooked investors. But as fear wanes investors realize that money has no place else go...
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This week is a still familiar story in the portfolio, with defensive stocks thriving and moving still higher.
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The market has undergone a radical personality transformation since I released the July issue last week. I’m not hitting the panic button, yet. But it is certainly a situation I will closely monitor.
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The Dog Days of Summer
We are in the dog days of summer, the hottest, most sultry days of the year. The expression “dog days” is an old one. In fact, it’s really old. The Romans used it.
It’s one of those expressions that everyone but...
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It’s the middle of the summer swoon. But there’s a lot going on in the market, namely earnings. Overall, this earnings season is shaping up to be positive but uninspired.
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Things look pretty darn good. The S&P 500 has broken the 3000 level for the first time ever and is within a whisker of its all-time high. The index is up over 9% since the beginning of June and 20% so far in 2019.
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The market is at new all-time highs. If there’s more bad news, it could go a lot higher. The biggest risk to the market right now is stronger-than-expected second-quarter GDP growth.
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