Market Views
In Recovery
Larger stocks led this week’s comeback with growth stocks picking up the most interest. Our FAANG Index bounced off its low, however I am still expecting a long recovery time for these stocks. For the market as a whole we have a..
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Market Views
Fear Index Up
The Dow sunk over 600 points yesterday, and the tech-rich Nasdaq also gave up triple digits, as Apple (AAPL) stock plummeted after another iPhone supplier warning. In addition, fellow blue chip Goldman Sachs (GS) suffered steep losses, pacing a broader decline...
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Market Views
Can Go Either Way
Resistance for the QQQ remains between 172.00 and 174.00. Support is between 165.00 and 168.00. A break below 165.00 would imply 162.50 is likely. A break below 162.50 would suggest the low on 10/29 at 160.09 will not hold a..
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Market Views
Time to Trim Riskier Options
Most major market indexes were back on the move higher on Monday, led by real estate, consumer staples and utilities. Shares of technology companies were not participating, however. Nor were energy producers. And healthcare companies’ shares were largely combination...
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Market Views
Looking for a Sharp Pullback
Predicting exactly when the market will bottom is always a random guessing game at best. I offer no forecast as to when, or at what level, the major averages will hit their final lows. Based on the huge in...
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Market Views
Selling Elevated this Week
Among the Buying Climaxes (74), the Retailing sector featured heavily and among the Selling Climaxes (203) were Autos, Buildings and Precious Metals featured.
Buying climaxes take place when a stock makes a 12-month high, but closes the week with a They...
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Market Views
It’s the Earnings that Count
History shows that stock prices generally have followed earnings, so it is nice to see actual and projected EPS moving up, even as earnings forecasts often turn out to be too rosy. Happily, the number of companies (79.8%) expectations...
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Market Views
All Clear
The Russell 1000 version of the advance-decline line made a new high this week, see chart below. In the absence of other evidence, we take each new high in the advance-decline line as a sort of ‘all clear’ signal. We remain on...
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Market Views
Long-Term Trend Remains Up
The overall market remains in decent shape, with the longer-term trend firmly up, though the intermediate-term trend is a bit iffy. But there remains a ton of rotation and crosscurrents in the market, with many (but not all) growth getting...
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Mid-Year Top Picks
Congrats to the Top Picks 2018, Mid-Year
The Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained about 1.4% for the year, which as you can see from our Top Picks table above, doesn’t come close to the gains of the big winners that our selected...
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Congrats to the Top Picks 2018, Mid-Year
The markets have seen more volatility in 2018 than last year, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average showing net gains of just 57 points for the year. But the good news is that our contributors have walloped score!
Capturing...
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Market Views
Looking for Higher Prices
The most positive thing one can say about the $SPX chart is that the major downtrend lines have been broken, and the gap at 2750 has been filled. Beyond that, the bulls have had to be satisfied with small but...
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Market Views
Further Gains Likely
Trading was quieter today as investors await the outcome of the Summit. Volatility could pick up as there are announcements this week by the Federal Reserve (FED) and the European Central Bank (ECB) regarding monetary policy where the Fed is to...
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Market Views
Market Breadth Positive
Breadth was negative with -381 net advances on the NYSE and -244 net declines on the Nasdaq. Preliminary new highs on the NYSE were 119 and 32 new lows. The Nasdaq had 150 new highs and 31 new lows. It’s good...
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Market Views
Bullish
The Dow successfully tested its lows Thursday and made a bullish tail, and then closed up strongly on Friday. The Dow has been consolidating into a 4-month Head & Shoulders type reversal pattern since late January and we expect it to break through...
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Market Views
Optimistic but Cautious
Last week was a constructive one for the market, with the major indexes tacking on gains and many potential leading stocks shaping up. Moreover, this builds on some other positive pieces of evidence, such as the positive divergences seen in broad...
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Market Views
Downside will bring Bargains
The market is responding both to the Fed, perhaps more than is realized, as they dismiss the 10-Year behavior and focus only on China. I believe it all matters; and don’t expect catastrophe at the end of the day, the...
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Market Views
Bullish, but Choppy
The relative strength of small stocks is trying to turn higher, while growth stocks continue to lead value by a solid margin. With the Value Line Geometric Index at 564.37, the Value Line Plan remains in the market with a sell...
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Market Views
Volatility Can Be Your Friend
A strong earnings season alongside recent inflation data has supported stock prices. Yet some analysts appear worried about rising inflation and interest rates. The change of tone has increased volatility, which is actually a good thing for investors have...
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Market Views
Caution; Watch for Resistance
Indices have recovered; the S&P 500 encounters potential resistance at 2750.
The IT sector tests recent highs, Consumer Discretionary encounters top of medium-term relative range.
Our outlook remains cautious as indices rally into previous highs.
John Gray, Investors Intelligence, www.investorsintelligence.com, 914-632-0422, February 2018
The...
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