Cabot Stock of the Week 344
The bull market rolls on—but it’s not a perfect bull market. In fact, it’s showing signs of age, with divergences and rotations that alternately reward and retard various sectors from time to time.
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The bull market rolls on—but it’s not a perfect bull market. In fact, it’s showing signs of age, with divergences and rotations that alternately reward and retard various sectors from time to time.
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Nine weeks ago, as the marijuana sector was completing what looked like a climax top, I took the risky step of taking partial profits in ten of our stocks, moving to a 45% cash position.
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The leading indexes continue to hit record highs, telling us the bull market that began over a year ago, though it is showing some signs of age, remains intact.
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Sellers Fading—but Will the Buyers Show Up?
We’re all about going with the evidence, and when it comes to growth stocks, the evidence was nearly uniformly negative (or at least not positive) for most of the past month. The vast majority of leading stocks, many...
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A quick look through the major marijuana stocks leads to an unsurprising conclusion: the sector remains in a correction.
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The bull market is still intact, but the signs of fraying that often emerge during long topping actions continue. Still, by focusing on the right stocks, we can do well.
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Waiting for a Buying Opportunity
Let’s start with the good news this week.
Fourth quarter results are in for all but one of our companies (Jushi) and they were terrific, showing average revenue growth from the year before of 167%—a number that would be even without...
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The market divergence that has been evolving since early February continues, with the Nasdaq in particular looking weak while the more conservative indexes like the S&P 500 remain near their highs.
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Less is More
In the real world, persistence is almost always associated with good things. If you’re a salesperson, you don’t give up when a few accounts turn you down; you keep selling until one customer bites. If your team is developing a new they...
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The marijuana sector, in general, remains in a correction. The high for the sector was six weeks ago, while the most recent bottom was two and a half weeks ago.
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While leading growth stocks have been hit hard (and some have rebounded), the major indexes remain in uptrends and cyclical stocks and “reopening” stocks have attracted new buyers.
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The good news is that one of our stocks, Trulieve (TCNNF), closed at a record high yesterday. The bad news is that none of our other stocks did. The sector as a whole remains in the moderate correction that began five weeks ago, and continue...
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The broad market remains in a diverging pattern, so there’s still a very good chance that a long-term market top is being formed.
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Open to Anything, but Playing the Odds
Last year saw a ton of “wow, we haven’t seen this kind of unusual market action in decades!” situations, but instead of reverting back to normal behavior, 2021 has had plenty of tricks up its sleeve as The...
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The Dow hit a new high today, but marijuana stocks didn’t; their correction, which was richly deserved, is now one month old. And the fact is this correction is likely to run further, mainly because the broad market still needs a correction.
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My quest to add some growthy stocks with a cyclical dimension and downside protection brings us to our latest recommendation.
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I’m tempted—I really am—to take some of our 46% cash position and move it back into marijuana stocks. Since the sector peaked three weeks ago, most of the stocks have had a decent pullback and now the best are moving up again, heading those...
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While some segments of the broad market have experienced a sharp correction over the past month (growth stocks in particular), the broad market has not fallen apart; in fact, many indexes hit new highs just last week. And, of course, today’s big jump rather...
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More Cracks Appear
At the start of November we saw a couple of blastoff-type indicators flash green (like the Three Day Thrust rule), and that turned out to be the start of a powerful intermediate-term advance. During the next two-plus months, progress was relative there...
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“Legal Weed Stocks Dip Despite New Jersey Governor Signing Recreational Cannabis Bill Into Law”
That was the headline on one of my news sources yesterday morning, implying that the action of the stocks in light of that legalization event was somehow illogical. But as know...
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