There is a lot of uncertainty out there, which isn’t an entirely new scenario. We’ll continue to try and play it a little safe right now by keeping all stocks previously rated hold at the same rating.
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The market’s had another rotational week—the big-cap indexes have done OK (S&P 500 and Nasdaq up around 1%), small-cap indexes have done even better (up nearly 2%), but growth stocks have suffered another round of heavy selling, with many falling to new correction lows.
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As we’ve seen in recent days, the major indexes are a bit soft this morning, with the Dow down 73 points and the Nasdaq down 15 points.
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While we’re growing more optimistic that the next big move will be up, we continue to advise a cautious stance as the market’s numerous crosscurrents continue—the indexes are still range bound, there’s rotation under the surface and relatively few stocks are hitting new highs.
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Our Emerging Markets Timer as found support in recent weeks, but that hasn’t been enough to produce a new buy signal.
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Short-term, the market remains under pressure, buffeted by the selling of investors scared by the prospects of an extended tariff war, but long-term, the trend remains up, so we still see the current weakness as a normal correction.
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We’re selling one stock, but we’re going to reinvest the proceeds in two steps—first, by adding another half-sized position in one and by initiating a half-sized position in another. Our cash position will still be in the low 50% range after these moves.
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Stock Recommendation Tracker
The Stock Recommendation Tracker is a table that features all of the current recommendations in all of our portfolios. It’s a quick way for you to see what stocks are currently in our portfolios and will highlight new additions or any to...
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The ping-pong action of the market has continued this week, with quick, sharp fluctuations based on daily (and often intraday and even overnight) news and rumors of the progress (or not) of the U.S.-China trade negotiations, including this morning’s good-looking pop. Frankly, we encouraged...
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Patience Precedes Profits
We regularly write about practicing patience with your winning stocks, and that will always be a key factor in making big money—unless you’re a savant, you’ll find that many of your trades will offset over time (small losses, break-evens, small wins, with...
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Short-term, the market remains under pressure, buffeted by the selling of investors scared by the prospects of an extended tariff war, but long-term, the trend remains up, so we still see the current weakness as a normal correction.
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Stock Recommendation Tracker
The Stock Recommendation Tracker is a table that features all of the current recommendations in all of our portfolios. It’s a quick way for you to see what stocks are currently in our portfolios and will highlight new additions or any to...
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Our Emerging Markets Timer as found support in recent weeks, but that hasn’t been enough to produce a new buy signal.
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For most of September, the trend of the major indexes was tilted up, but it was still hard to make much money—just about any stock that was near its peak stagnated and, eventually, hit an air pocket. Meanwhile, stocks that enjoyed solid advances a..
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Be cautious. The selling pressure has spread to the rest of the market, with the recent decline cracking a bunch of stocks and causing our Cabot Tides to turn negative.
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Our Emerging Markets Timer as found support in recent weeks, but that hasn’t been enough to produce a new buy signal.
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As the futures indicated, the market is down sharply this morning, though the major indexes have bounced from their lows. As of 10:45 am, the Dow is sinking 454 points while the Nasdaq is down 118 points.
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The market looks set to open down relatively sharply this morning, with the futures indicating opening losses in the 0.7% to 1% range for the major indexes. However, our focus is really on the overall evidence, which is clearly worsening.
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Short-term, the market remains under pressure, buffeted by the selling of investors scared by the prospects of an extended tariff war, but long-term, the trend remains up, so we still see the current weakness as a normal correction.
Read More
Stock Recommendation Tracker
The Stock Recommendation Tracker is a table that features all of the current recommendations in all of our portfolios. It’s a quick way for you to see what stocks are currently in our portfolios and will highlight new additions or any to...
Read More