As value investors in a remarkably robust (exuberant) stock market, full valuation impels us to want to sell a stock. Such is the case with General Motors. On most conventional metrics, the stock is fairly priced. Through the courtesy of several friends, we’ve some...
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Most stocks on the Cabot Undervalued Stocks Advisor recommended list had strong performance this past week. Part of the strength was perhaps due to money managers’ general optimism that seems to brighten with turn of the calendar. With last year’s bonuses firmly in bag,...
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The Point of Peak Perception?
It’s a truism of investing that stocks bottom when the news is terrible and pessimism and fear are the prevailing sentiments—but peak when the news is good and optimism and greed reign.
You have only to look back to March a..
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With the turn of the calendar only a few days ahead, just about every investor is mapping out their market views for the coming year. Some do this formally, like Wall Street brokerage firms who publish their opinions on where the S&P 500 interest...
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The Cabot Undervalued Stocks Advisor has an investment horizon that is generally one to two years. As long as our companies are making fundamental progress, we’re comfortable with waiting for periods that easily extend past December 31st. However, the market doesn’t necessarily share that perspective. many...
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It’s been said that the four most dangerous words in investing are “this time, it’s different.” The stock market’s behavior is clearly pointing to things being different this time.
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Over the past month or so, it seemed like stocks would continue their frenetic surge. This week, however, the market appears relatively lackluster with a lot less excitement. Some investors may yearn for more fireworks, but as a value investor, I find this to...
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The Future is Full of Surprises
One of the oft-told tales of the California Gold Rush is that while most miners failed to strike it rich, the real money-makers were the people selling shovels—and of course that immigrant from Bavaria, Levi Strauss, who sold denim...
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Stocks showing strength and breadth like we haven’t seen in a long time, particularly with the broad market at a record high. Despite flattish returns from the formerly high-flying mega-cap tech stocks, the broad stock market is no longer grinding higher, it is higher,...
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While pulling back a bit from the sharp jump on Monday, November 9th, the market rebounded on additional encouraging Covid vaccine results this week.
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Just like that, the stock market emerged from its dark mood of October 30th to surge 8.6% in six trading days, with reinvigorated optimism following the evaporation of the election cloud and news of a very promising Covid vaccine.
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Investing in a World of Uncertainty
“You can only see as far as your headlights … but you can make the whole trip that way.” E.L. Doctorow
Short-term, the world is full of uncertainty today, with a major election around the corner and a pandemic to...
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While the market action has been somewhat exciting this week (though in the wrong direction), it was fairly dull for Cabot Undervalued Stocks Advisor recommended stocks in terms of news. This news drought will fade as five companies report later this week, with six more following...
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With low interest rates and easy borrowing terms, and some supportive jaw-boning and incremental buying by the Federal Reserve, new corporate debt issuance in the United States is reaching record highs.
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The stock market had a decent week, gaining about 5% since our last letter. While market commentators have ascribed a range of reasons for the strength, including new hope for a federal stimulus package, a growing consensus about the outcome of the presidential and...
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Still Cautious
Seven weeks ago I started recommending selling marijuana stocks and taking profits, saying that they’d gone too high and that investment sentiment seemed equally high as well (a bad thing). Since then, the Marijuana Index is down 10% and the Alternative Harvest is...
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With all of our stocks now having price targets assigned to them, we thought we’d share with you some of our process behind how we set those price targets.
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Through most of the summer, investors had become increasingly confident about the strength and direction of the economic recovery, the likelihood of the arrival of several promising Covid vaccines, another round of federal economic stimulus and other favorable indicators.
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Election season is now in full swing. In less than seven weeks, or only 49 days, the country will select its next president, representatives from all 435 House congressional districts, 35 senators and 12 state governors.
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The recent (and ongoing?) tech momentum reversal appears to be due to a variety of concerns ranging from doubt about valuations, worries about the pace of the economy’s recovery, the lack of another stimulus package and slowing growth in the Federal Reserve’s asset purchases.
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