More Cracks Appear
At the start of November we saw a couple of blastoff-type indicators flash green (like the Three Day Thrust rule), and that turned out to be the start of a powerful intermediate-term advance. During the next two-plus months, progress was relative there...
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The stock market is clearly accelerating the “reopening” trade. Small cap and cyclical stocks as well as commodity prices are surging, interest rates continue to tick up (the 10-year Treasury yield is now 1.38%, up from 0.92% at year-end), and novel financial vehicles SPACs,...
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The market took another hit this morning, but like yesterday, the major indexes have found support as the day has progressed—just after 3 pm EST, the Dow was down 70 points while the Nasdaq was off 66 points. Part of the reason for recent...
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With the stock market regularly surging to record highs, it may seem like an unusual time to focus on valuation. After all, many stocks are remarkably expensive on traditional measures, and even somewhat lofty on non-traditional measures. But valuation still matters, especially if market...
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Stock Name
Market Cap
Price
Investment Type
APi Group (APG)
$3.6 billion
19.25
Growth & Value – Industrial Services
C3.ai (AI)
$14.1 billion
147.17
Rapid Growth – Software
Fisker (FSR)
$5.4billion
19.46
Development Stage – EV Designer
JFrog (FROG)
$6.3 billion
69.23
Rapid Growth – Software
Poshmark (POSH)
$5.4 billion
73.29
Rapid Growth – Resale/Social Platform
Make Hay While the Sun Is Shining
This has been a phenomenal for...
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Simply Put: Very Impressive Action
Two weeks ago, the major indexes and some individual stocks began to flash abnormal action, a couple of key leaders were threatening to break down and some late-in-the-advance type of action (heavily shorted stocks going nuts) was occurring. Importantly, the...
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Last week, we outlined four ingredients of a market bubble that were usefully outlined in a recently published book1”and briefly described how it clearly appears that our stock market is in a bubble. These ingredients include easy trading of assets, cheap and easy rising...
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Agree with it or not, the influx of immigrants into the U.S. has been great for business. And investors can profit from immigration with these three stocks.
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The quick rebound in the major indexes and many growth stocks this week has been very encouraging—it doesn’t completely clear the air from some of the abnormal action last week, but it’s definitely a plus. We remain mostly bullish, though we continue to entries...
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With the now-infamous Reddit trades unraveling, and the rebalancing done, the market is free to rebound.
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Unexpected Events Occur Frequently
One of the unique things about the market (and a big reason so many investors have trouble) is that it doesn’t follow the usual “bell curve” of probabilities that dominates the real world. For instance, given that the market’s average is...
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Intel’s recently publicized struggles with its own chip production highlight the trajectory of this story. The company has been unable to successfully transition to leading-edge manufacturing technologies, and is seriously considering outsourcing to companies like Taiwan Semiconductor. Intel has long been the industry’s in...
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Not much has changed with the market’s picture—most stocks (especially cyclical stocks) are very strong, and we’re happy that the Model Portfolio is off to a good start this year after a great 2020. However, things are also quite frothy, few stocks are attractive...
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Stock Name
Market Cap
Price
Investment Type
Arcosa (ACA)
$3.0 billion
62.01
Growth & Value – Infrastructure & Energy
Castle Biosciences (CSTL)
$1.9 billion
81.48
Rapid Growth – Genetic Testing
Certara (CERT)
$5.6 billion
36.60
Growth – Biosimulation Software
Lyft (LYFT)
$15.5 billion
48.94
Rapid Growth – Ridesharing
Purple (PRPL)
$2.2 billion
35.07
Rapid Growth – DTC Mattresses
Still Rallying
As we wade deeper into winter here in Northeast,...
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As value investors in a remarkably robust (exuberant) stock market, full valuation impels us to want to sell a stock. Such is the case with General Motors. On most conventional metrics, the stock is fairly priced. Through the courtesy of several friends, we’ve some...
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Taking Things on a Stock-by-Stock Basis
We believe one of the main reasons our system has proved durable is that it doesn’t focus on just one or two factors, but incorporates things from different angles. For instance, when selecting stocks, we’re not only looking charts...
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Most stocks on the Cabot Undervalued Stocks Advisor recommended list had strong performance this past week. Part of the strength was perhaps due to money managers’ general optimism that seems to brighten with turn of the calendar. With last year’s bonuses firmly in bag,...
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The indexes are having another good day today, led by growth stocks this time—as of 3:30pm, the Dow is up 253 points and the Nasdaq is up a big 322 points.
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Sometimes the most appealing stocks are those that superficially seem to go against trends (leading to investors avoiding them) yet have either fundamental traits that sidestep these trends or have overly discounted valuations.
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Happy New Year
It’s been a long, strange 12 months, but it’s also been a very prosperous period, at least for growth investors—with one day left in the year, the Model Portfolio is up around 60%, easily besting most major indexes. Happily, that builds our...
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