A Normal Breather
As the market pushed sharply higher following its early-October low (10% or so in the S&P 500, 12%-plus in the Nasdaq), rising seven out of eight weeks, the worries of the world (trade wars, slowing economic growth, even impeachment) were slowly As...
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Both large and small growth stocks continue to advance off their October lows despite all the political turmoil from the impeachment hearings.
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Mostly Sunny, Chance of Passing Showers
Seven weeks ago, the market was getting hit and growth stocks were looking awful. We were definitely cautious, but on this page we also wrote the following:
“We don’t want to sound too negative. It’s still a bull market, we...
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Market: Great. Growth Stocks: Just OK
Ever since the indexes turned on a dime at the beginning of this year, we’ve been leaning bullish on the general market, and in recent months, even as things have chopped around and there’s been an avalanche of we’ve...
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Market Views
Still bullish
The broad stock market continues to plow ahead, as $SPX has made new closing or intraday all-time highs on 10 of the last 14 days, including the last two. Thus, momentum is strong and the $SPX chart remains bullish. The $SPX $VIX...
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The S&P 600 Index just made another run but called it quits at 990 and has turned south.
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Less Remains More
Way back in the day the late, great Joe Granville once said that “the market is the train, and I’m the caboose,” which is a good summation of our general philosophy over the years. At heart, we’re trend followers, getting heavily when...
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Market Views
Quiet for Now
Stocks finished a relatively quiet session lower today, after trading on both sides of breakeven amid waning optimism over Friday's partial trade deal between Beijing and Washington. Reports emerged that China wishes to continue trade talks before finalizing the "phase deal,...
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Patience Precedes Profits
We regularly write about practicing patience with your winning stocks, and that will always be a key factor in making big money—unless you’re a savant, you’ll find that many of your trades will offset over time (small losses, break-evens, small wins, with...
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Aggravation-to-Profit Ratio: High
Everybody loves a persistent uptrend in growth stocks, especially us; we know how to find the winners and ride them for the majority of their advance. That’s where the real money is! And while we don’t ever root for a big we...
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Market Views
Shifting to Value
We have a lot of market analysts who are at a loss to understand the rotation(s) that have enabled stocks to work higher (and challenge highs) even at the risk of crying alarms. The hedgers and many technicians do so, the...
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Mixed Messages
The market is never easy to read, but the past week has been about as confusing as you’ll ever see. On one hand, leading stocks have been taken to the woodshed. Software and cybersecurity, which were two of the best performers this have...
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Market Views
One Stock at a Time
The major indexes are tilted to the upside to start the week. However, under the surface, we’re continuing to see increasing selling pressure on most growth stocks, including a bunch of names from leading areas like software and While...
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Lots of Drama, But the Evidence is Unchanged
August is winding to a close, and we say good riddance—this month has packed in as many dramatic market-moving headlines as any we can remember due to developments in the U.S.-China trade battle, speeches from the Reserve...
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Play Some Defense
Usually, when the market is doing well, stocks aren’t affected much by the news of the day. That’s not to say individual stocks don’t get pushed around, but for the market as a whole, worrisome headline news usually goes the way water...
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Market Views
No Longer Overbought
Technically, the S&P 500 has corrected most of an overbought condition with a 2.73% decline from its July 16 high. News-related volatility will likely continue as the market enters its least favorable season. But, sentiment gauges have begun to improve a..
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Passing T-Storms—or Something More?
On this page of the last issue, we wrote “we think the near-term is a toss-up, at least when it comes to individual growth stocks— earnings season is always tricky, and let’s face it, many leaders have had great runs the...
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Market Views
Be Ready for Profit-Taking
The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average were little changed today on slightly negative breadth on the NYSE. Broad foreign equity ETFs (EFA, EEM, VEU) also had a quiet day. However, small and mid-cap ETFs fell about 1⁄2%.
The Russell...
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Mostly Sunny—with Possible T-Storms Along the Way
Ever since January 9, when the 2-to-1 Blastoff Indicator gave a rare buy signal just two weeks after the market’s major bottom, our greatest conviction has been that the overall market had likely entered a new bull that...
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Congrats to the Top Picks 2019, Mid-Year
Congratulations to our Top Picks for 2019! For the first half of the year, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 11.8%; the S&P 500 gained 14.3%, and the NASDAQ has returned 16.1%. But, as you can from...
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