The stock market is clearly accelerating the “reopening” trade. Small cap and cyclical stocks as well as commodity prices are surging, interest rates continue to tick up (the 10-year Treasury yield is now 1.38%, up from 0.92% at year-end), and novel financial vehicles SPACs,...
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With the stock market regularly surging to record highs, it may seem like an unusual time to focus on valuation. After all, many stocks are remarkably expensive on traditional measures, and even somewhat lofty on non-traditional measures. But valuation still matters, especially if market...
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While the market continues to move forward, The “Buffett Indicator,” which takes the broadest Wilshire 5000 Index and divides it by the annual U.S. GDP, is now at a record high. In doing the math, the Buffett Indicator stands at about 194%. This is...
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Last week, we outlined four ingredients of a market bubble that were usefully outlined in a recently published book1”and briefly described how it clearly appears that our stock market is in a bubble. These ingredients include easy trading of assets, cheap and easy rising...
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With the now-infamous Reddit trades unraveling, and the rebalancing done, the market is free to rebound.
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This week a number of Explorer stock retraced last week’s gains, with a major exception being the explosive 45% surge in Virgin Galactic (SPCE) on top of its previous week’s 25% surge. It appears that key test flights are forthcoming as well as more space mania and ETFs...
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Intel’s recently publicized struggles with its own chip production highlight the trajectory of this story. The company has been unable to successfully transition to leading-edge manufacturing technologies, and is seriously considering outsourcing to companies like Taiwan Semiconductor. Intel has long been the industry’s in...
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As value investors in a remarkably robust (exuberant) stock market, full valuation impels us to want to sell a stock. Such is the case with General Motors. On most conventional metrics, the stock is fairly priced. Through the courtesy of several friends, we’ve some...
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The phrase you hear more than ever from market prognosticators these days is that they are “cautiously optimistic” about the state of the stock market. In some ways this is pretty useless advice, but in another it hits the nail on the head. market...
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Most stocks on the Cabot Undervalued Stocks Advisor recommended list had strong performance this past week. Part of the strength was perhaps due to money managers’ general optimism that seems to brighten with turn of the calendar. With last year’s bonuses firmly in bag,...
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Sometimes the most appealing stocks are those that superficially seem to go against trends (leading to investors avoiding them) yet have either fundamental traits that sidestep these trends or have overly discounted valuations.
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As we head into a new year, I would like to thank all of you for your support and wish you all both good health and profits in 2021. But today, we have a piece of unfinished business that needs to be dealt - Alibaba...
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With the turn of the calendar only a few days ahead, just about every investor is mapping out their market views for the coming year. Some do this formally, like Wall Street brokerage firms who publish their opinions on where the S&P 500 interest...
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The Cabot Undervalued Stocks Advisor has an investment horizon that is generally one to two years. As long as our companies are making fundamental progress, we’re comfortable with waiting for periods that easily extend past December 31st. However, the market doesn’t necessarily share that perspective. many...
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Some of you might have been a bit alarmed at the message attached to last week’s issue that the next issue will be out January 7, 2021. But today we have an update and rest assured, I’ll be following the Explorer portfolio next and...
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It’s been said that the four most dangerous words in investing are “this time, it’s different.” The stock market’s behavior is clearly pointing to things being different this time.
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Over the past month or so, it seemed like stocks would continue their frenetic surge. This week, however, the market appears relatively lackluster with a lot less excitement. Some investors may yearn for more fireworks, but as a value investor, I find this to...
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The Explorer portfolio had another good week despite a sharp pullback by ElectraMeccanica (SOLO). We still have a big profit there, so I advise you to sell half your position and let the rest ride. As you review your stock portfolios going into 2021, I you...
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Stocks have surged this past month, with the S&P 500 returning 11% in November. Other major indices, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq Composite, produced similarly strong returns. These kinds of returns would make a good year in most investors’ eyes.
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Stocks showing strength and breadth like we haven’t seen in a long time, particularly with the broad market at a record high. Despite flattish returns from the formerly high-flying mega-cap tech stocks, the broad stock market is no longer grinding higher, it is higher,...
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