Time for a Rocket
This week, I was tempted to recommend another cyclical energy name as I tend to believe we are in the early innings of an energy crisis.
Soaring commodity prices and low equity valuations should result in some explosive returns. But we have...
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The Big Idea
If given a choice between taking a drug via pill or needle, how often would you choose the needle?
If you said never, congrats. You’re human.
Nobody in their right mind says, “I’ll just take the shot doc.” Unfortunately, there are still tons medications...
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Back to School
My daughter started kindergarten last week while my son will be starting his second year of pre-school next week.
School starts with half days, but by next week, we will be on to full days and back in the swing of things.
While is...
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The Big Idea
Whenever a lawsuit is filed the first thing that happens is lawyers on both sides go through a discovery process.
This means searching for relevant information, facts, and evidence. It requires sifting through tons of materials – emails, documents, financial statements, mail, etc...
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“Trades” vs. “Core Positions”
My favorite stock to recommend is a growth-at-a-value-price name like Performant Financial (PFMT), my recommendation last week.
These companies are great because they can grow revenue and earnings significantly, and also benefit from a valuation multiple re-rating.
This is what can generate or...
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The Big Idea
Covid-19 has changed the way we live and work, what we do for activities, and how we interact with friends and family. Some changes will be transient, while others will hang around for a while.
Two notable trends that should have staying are...
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Growth at a Value Price
If you’ve been a subscriber for a while, you’ve heard me say it before.
I love micro-caps because you can buy growth stocks at value prices.
In large-cap land, you can buy growth stocks for growth (expensive) prices and value stocks value...
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The Big Idea
It used to be that sales and marketing teams relied on conferences, cold calls, mass mailings and in-person networking events to engage with business clients.
Then the internet arrived, and a lot of this activity moved online. That was great … for while.
But...
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“Nothing is Cheap Anymore”
Every Friday, a bunch of families in my neighborhood gather at a local park to have pizza, drink some beer, and let our kids run around.
It’s a great way to unwind after the week, and the kids usually sleep well Friday...
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The Big Idea
I’m not the biggest pop culture guy out there. But I do have an affinity for certain movies, shows and sports teams that have struck a chord, or played a special role in my life.
This is likely true for everybody out to...
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Pent-Up Demand
I recently stumbled upon the below chart showing that savings rates in 2020 were 50% to 500% higher than the previous 20 years.
What is the takeaway? There is plenty of pent-up demand around the world. In other words, people have money burning hole...
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The Big Idea
It should come as no surprise that streaming is a huge trend.
Netflix, Amazon, Hulu and Disney+ have enjoyed massive success, so much so that everybody else has realized they need a streaming presence and are entering the market too. We see Peacock,...
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The Big Idea
For over a year we have been forced to hold back from doing so many things we all took for granted.
Now, with vaccination rates rising quickly, spring in the air and summer right around the corner there is massive pent-up demand travel,...
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Value is Pulling Away From Growth
Value investors have waited a long time for this.
After suffering through one of the worst periods of relative underperformance ever, value is outperforming.
Not only is value outperforming, but it feels like some of the froth is being sucked of...
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The Big Idea
One of the unsung heroes of the online retail boom is a largely unknown technology – digital printing on fabrics and textiles.
While many traditional manufacturers and retailers of clothes, fashion items and home décor were destroyed during the pandemic, the inverse true...
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The Market is Expensive But Don’t Fight the Tape
Depending on who you follow to get your financial news, you may be aware that the U.S. stock market is quite expensive and there are several warning signs that prospective returns could be weak.
For example, S&P...
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The Big Idea
There are nearly 6 million men across the U.S. and Europe currently living with prostate cancer. Roughly 625,000 more are added to the list each year. That makes prostate cancer easily one of the most common types of cancer affecting men.
Toss benign...
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How I Pick Micro-Caps
It’s been a while since I’ve explained my process for picking micro-cap stocks so I figured it would be worthwhile to review.
It can be extremely profitable to invest in growth companies, as any Tesla or Amazon shareholder will tell you.
But is...
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The Big Idea
In 2012 Matt Ehrlichman, who had just sold his start-up technology company Thriva to Active Network for $60 million, was moving his family into their newly built home and dealing with all the hassles home construction and moving required. He thought must...
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Focus on the Fundamentals
Sentiment indicators continue to suggest the market may be due for a pullback.
The Citi Panic/Euphoria model suggests sentiment is high right now.
Historically speaking, when this model sees “euphoria” in the market, 12-month forward returns look poor.
Another interesting sentiment data point S&P...
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