Mostly Sunny, Chance of Showers
In the last issue, we wrote about the myriad crosscurrents that were still being seen—while the major indexes looked good, the day-to-day rotation was wild among sectors and themes, with news-driven moves the norm for a few weeks. But also...
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This is probably going to be an unusual Thanksgiving for many of you as we head into the last month of a turbulent year. While the overall market is up only a bit over 10%, there have been pockets that have delivered much, higher...
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The bull market is alive and well, as investors look forward to vaccines that enable economic reopening. So I continue to recommend that you be heavily invested in a diversified portfolio of stocks.
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Wild—but Positive—Action
The healthiest market environment is generally one where most participants are rowing in the same direction—the vast majority of stocks and sectors glide higher (with the occasional pullback or shakeout, of course) as investor perception of the future steadily improves. Even if broad...
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The bull market rolls on, with today’s news about Moderna’s vaccine providing a high-profile reason to be optimistic about reopening the economy.
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Election results seem clear and will have a mixed impact on investor appetites.
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The news that Pfizer has a promising Covid vaccine, combined with the weekend news that Biden/Harris won the presidential election, triggered a wave of buying (and selling) on Wall Street this morning, rewarding both large caps and small caps while penalizing (at least stocks...
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Believe What You See
There are usually a couple of times each year where the market really messes with people, catching the vast majority of investors off-guard. (Remember the old saw: The market does what it has to do to fool the most investors One...
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With the election tomorrow a nearly universal concern, my optimistic expectation is that it will quickly pass, and investors’ attention will revert to what really matters—growth and valuation.
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Markets are choppy, which is normal considering uncertainty is high and we’re less than a week from the presidential election. Today I look at what history can teach us about politics and markets and why it might be a bit different this time.
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The overall investing environment remains positive, though recent weakness in growth stocks in particular means buyers of aggressive stocks should favor low-risk entry points.
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Riding the Bucking Bronco
Investing in general, and growth stock investing in particular, tends to be very streaky—while many would love for a steady, low-stress increase in their portfolios, that’s not how the world usually works. Instead you get periods of time when the gushes...
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Some of the best stock performers throughout history have been what are known as “follow-on” opportunities—companies that thrive as a secondary effect of some major change going on in the world.
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The Explorer portfolio held steady this week, though Cloudflare (NET) broke out with a 42% gain and our newest recommendation, Vipshop (VIPS), was up 12%. A few other stocks moved nicely higher.
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The overall investing environment continues to improve, with our intermediate-term trend-following indicator now back in positive mode and growth stocks in particular seeing strong buying.
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Steady Improvement
By the letter of the law, the big-cap indexes remain in the midst of a correction—the S&P 500 sits about 4% off its high, while the Nasdaq is more than 5% below its early-September peak, and many stocks and sectors are being around...
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Officially, Cabot’s trend-following indicators now tell us that the intermediate-term trend of the market is down—and this means it’s prudent to increase your cash position, while leaning toward caution in new investments.
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We enter the fourth quarter of 2020 today with a long-term game plan, not a 2-minute drill. The Explorer portfolio had a good week, with all positions advancing, though some more than others.
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Officially, Cabot’s trend-following indicators now tell us that the intermediate-term trend of the market is down—and this means it’s prudent to increase your cash position, while leaning toward caution in new investments.
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Bad News, Good News
Our last issue was titled “Burden of Proof is on the Bulls,” and since then, the buyers have failed to step up to the plate, leading to a worsening of the overall evidence—earlier this week, our Cabot Tides flipped to bearish...
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