Value is Pulling Away From Growth
Value investors have waited a long time for this.
After suffering through one of the worst periods of relative underperformance ever, value is outperforming.
Not only is value outperforming, but it feels like some of the froth is being sucked of...
The Market is Expensive But Don’t Fight the Tape
Depending on who you follow to get your financial news, you may be aware that the U.S. stock market is quite expensive and there are several warning signs that prospective returns could be weak.
For example, S&P...
How I Pick Micro-Caps
It’s been a while since I’ve explained my process for picking micro-cap stocks so I figured it would be worthwhile to review.
It can be extremely profitable to invest in growth companies, as any Tesla or Amazon shareholder will tell you.
Focus on the Fundamentals
Sentiment indicators continue to suggest the market may be due for a pullback.
The Citi Panic/Euphoria model suggests sentiment is high right now.
Historically speaking, when this model sees “euphoria” in the market, 12-month forward returns look poor.
Another interesting sentiment data point S&P...
Stocks have surged this past month, with the S&P 500 returning 11% in November. Other major indices, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq Composite, produced similarly strong returns. These kinds of returns would make a good year in most investors’ eyes.
Full Steam Ahead
Well, it took an additional four days after election day for a winner to be declared, but on Saturday, Joe Biden was officially projected to be the 46th U.S. President.
The race was a lot closer than many anticipated, and President Trump challenging...
At Least One Uncertainty Cloud Should be Evaporating
There remains a lot going on. The pandemic, domestic and international economies struggling, zero/negative interest rates, and an unusually high number of other clouds still obscure the investing horizon. But, with election season rapidly approaching its one...
Ideally, I like to look for companies that are operating in industries with secular tailwinds and long runways for growth (think Liberated Syndication or P10 Holdings).
I usually don’t like to invest in overly cyclical industries because a lot is out of the control.
We’re in Limbo-Land … Now What?
There seems to be so much going on, and yet investors are stuck in the middle with no direction.
We’ve passed the worst (hopefully) of the pandemic, yet there isn’t a clear-cut solution in sight. The domestic economy continues grow...
Don’t Fight the Fed?
The U.S. Federal Reserve Bank, called by its colloquial name “the Fed” even on its website, made its informal but landmark policy change official last week. For the foreseeable future, the Fed will keep interest rates near zero, focusing almost on...
A Few Thoughts on Rising Market Speculation
The stock market continues to favor high-tech “digital economy” growth companies, particularly after the remarkably strong earnings reports from Apple, Amazon and others. The performance spread between “digital economy” stocks and “physical economy” stocks suggest that speculative is...
How to Monitor Future Trouble in the Housing Market
U.S. stock markets continue to rise, carrying the majority of our portfolio stocks upward. There’s price resistance on the S&P 500 index at about 3,200, so that’s where I will anticipate an end to the run-up...
Caution: Rough Seas Ahead
As the stock market recovers from the steep downturn in March, I’d like to stress that this downturn bears no resemblance to any previous stock market downturn. It wasn’t created by corporate excesses or a housing bubble or any specific problem...