With the Dow hitting another new high but the growth-focused Nasdaq Composite still unable to get above its February peak, we remain in a bull market that is challenging for growth investors; in fact, many recent great earnings reports have been met with instead...
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Back in the Soup
During the past month, the way we thought about what was going on was that growth stocks had finally put themselves into a position to get going after a two and a half month stretch of tough, choppy trading. Instead narrow,...
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May hasn’t started out exuberantly, with an early pull-back in the high-momentum tech stocks dragging down the broader indexes.
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With the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite hitting new highs just last week, there’s no question that we remain in a bull market, and thus there’s no question that we should remain heavily invested.
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The bull market is alive and well, though divergences and rotation continue to add a challenge to the process of identifying the market’s leaders.
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Seeing More Setups, but Still in the Spin Cycle
Two-plus months ago, speculation was running rampant and most growth stocks had made giant moves over the prior six to nine months. So when the sellers finally stepped up and cracked the intermediate-term uptrend in growth...
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The bull market rolls on—but it’s not a perfect bull market. In fact, it’s showing signs of age, with divergences and rotations that alternately reward and retard various sectors from time to time.
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The leading indexes continue to hit record highs, telling us the bull market that began over a year ago, though it is showing some signs of age, remains intact.
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Sellers Fading—but Will the Buyers Show Up?
We’re all about going with the evidence, and when it comes to growth stocks, the evidence was nearly uniformly negative (or at least not positive) for most of the past month. The vast majority of leading stocks, many...
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Determining a company’s underlying value is difficult, and clearly more of an art than a science.
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The bull market is still intact, but the signs of fraying that often emerge during long topping actions continue. Still, by focusing on the right stocks, we can do well.
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The market divergence that has been evolving since early February continues, with the Nasdaq in particular looking weak while the more conservative indexes like the S&P 500 remain near their highs.
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Less is More
In the real world, persistence is almost always associated with good things. If you’re a salesperson, you don’t give up when a few accounts turn you down; you keep selling until one customer bites. If your team is developing a new they...
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While leading growth stocks have been hit hard (and some have rebounded), the major indexes remain in uptrends and cyclical stocks and “reopening” stocks have attracted new buyers.
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The broad market remains in a diverging pattern, so there’s still a very good chance that a long-term market top is being formed.
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Open to Anything, but Playing the Odds
Last year saw a ton of “wow, we haven’t seen this kind of unusual market action in decades!” situations, but instead of reverting back to normal behavior, 2021 has had plenty of tricks up its sleeve as The...
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My quest to add some growthy stocks with a cyclical dimension and downside protection brings us to our latest recommendation.
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We’re watching market sentiment gyrate sharply between “the economic reopening will boost earnings” and “the economic reopening will boost inflation”. Both outcomes are likely.
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While some segments of the broad market have experienced a sharp correction over the past month (growth stocks in particular), the broad market has not fallen apart; in fact, many indexes hit new highs just last week. And, of course, today’s big jump rather...
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More Cracks Appear
At the start of November we saw a couple of blastoff-type indicators flash green (like the Three Day Thrust rule), and that turned out to be the start of a powerful intermediate-term advance. During the next two-plus months, progress was relative there...
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