Still the Same Story
Most times, the market environment is in a constant state of change, so when we report to you our latest thoughts on this page, there’s plenty to discuss—rotation among sectors, major moves in the indexes, earnings season or some big-picture that...
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You should remain bullish and flexible. Most of the evidence remains positive, including the trends of the major indexes and action of leading growth stocks.
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Much More Good than Bad
We believe it was the late, great Marty Zweig who once wrote that, in the world of the market, you’re never going to get everything lined up in one direction—if you had 100 market timing indicators, to get 85 90...
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Remain bullish, but pick your spots. Today was a very brutal day, but it hasn’t changed the evidence, at least not yet—our trend-following measures are still bullish and, along with the recent blastoff indicators, tell us the odds still favor higher prices ahead further...
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Believe What You See
Most of the time, the stock market and U.S. economy are in gear—there are always fits and starts, but as the economy expands, earnings generally grow and that contributes to a bull market. But it’s the times when the two moving...
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Remain optimistic. Growth stocks have had a tough week, but the selling hasn’t been abnormal, few (if any) have broken down and today’s stabilization for many is a good sign.
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The Perfect isn’t the Enemy of the (Very) Good
In a perfect world, everything would be lined up on the bull side of the fence. Market timing-wise, not only would our Cabot Trend Lines and Cabot Tides be bullish, but investor sentiment would be the...
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The market’s evidence has worsened some this week—our Cabot Tides are now on the fence as the broad market has softened.
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Growth Stocks vs. Everything Else
When stocks were falling apart in late February and early March, the market was obviously very uniform—that is, everything was moving together, in this case straight through the floor. Near the lows, for instance, less than 4% of stocks the...
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The overall market continues to look good, though this week we’ve seen most growth stocks take hits as money has flowed into the broad market.
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So Far, So Good
It was exactly one month ago that the S&P hit its crash lows, down more than 35% from its highs five weeks prior. Given the selling extremes, it was normal to expect a bounce, which began right away. But during past...
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Remain defensive, but stay tuned. Despite many crosscurrents and news-driven moves this week, we’re just playing it by the book—our Cabot Tides are close to a buy signal, and if that happens, we’ll take a step back into the market.
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Key Test for the Market Coming Up
In the last issue, we wrote about some shorter-term signs of spring that had finally popped up for the market, including an encouraging positive divergence from the broad market as stocks collapsed. Throw in some horrid sentiment a..
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Remain defensive. There are good and bad aspects to the market’s short-term action; overall, we’re optimistic a bottom-building process is underway, but we’ll see how it goes.
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Some Short-Term Signs of Spring
We can’t remember a time when the news flow came as fast and furious as it has in recent weeks, from state-wide shutdowns to big market swings to stimulus packages to Federal Reserve actions. That’s why it’s good to a..
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Remain defensive. There are certainly indications that a countertrend rally could start at any time, so we’re not anxious to raise more cash, but we’re sticking with the trend, which remains down. In the Model Portfolio, we have no changes tonight—we’re holding four stocks...
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The Coronavirus Crash
We’re not big into labels when it comes to investing, as too many tie their decisions to them, but we think it’s fair to say the action since late February has been a rolling crash, as the indexes have plunged 26% 32%...
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Remain cautious. The market has been gyrating wildly this week, holding above its lows from last Friday.
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Correction in Full Force
The coronavirus and its impact on the economy had been making a few headlines in recent weeks and impacting a handful of stocks, but this week, perception has changed in a big way, crushing the major indexes and most stocks. get...
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We’re mostly bullish, and are giving our winners room to keep running, but we’re also still looking for decent entry points in stocks that appear to be early-ish in their advances.
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