The market has been up for six straight days, marijuana stocks look good, overall, and while we don’t quite have a buy signal from our intermediate-term trend-following indicator, we are very close. Today we are averaging up in three stocks.
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The broad market has advanced nicely since mid-day Monday when news that the Fed might lower interest rates sparked a wave of buying. Long-term, the future is bright. But short-term, the portfolio is happy holding a cash level of 23%, deferring new buying.
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Cannabis News
Fundamentally, the fastest-growing industry in America continues its rapid evolution. Some analysts now estimate that marijuana will be an $80 billion business in few years, while CBD sales will hit $16 billion by 2025.
It’s hard to know. But one big step comes tomorrow the...
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The market’s larger, longer-term trend remains up, and the odds are that the market will be higher later this year. But short-term, the market remains in a correction, and marijuana stocks, as a whole, are not fighting the trend.
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Investing in up markets is easy. From the December low until recently, the strong market provided a huge tailwind that sent marijuana stocks soaring—and had our portfolio, at the peak, up 57.2% year-to-date.
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Overall, cannabis/marijuana stocks still look fine, even though the stocks were generally soft yesterday, so I’m not doing a full update, but there has been action, both good and bad, in a few stocks worth mentioning.
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Analyzing Stocks
I didn’t go to business school; I was an English major. But the values learned in our household were firmly grounded in free market capitalism and investing. Sunday mornings, after going to church, we would stop at the local newsstand to buy and...
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Looking at the revenues of the 14 companies in our Marijuana Portfolio, the average growth rate in the latest quarter, relative to the previous year, was 409%. The median, for you statistical fans, was 255%. This is one fast-growing sector!
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The broad stock market remains healthy, with all indexes at or near highs, with the exception of small-cap stocks, which are lagging. A rising tide lifts all boats.
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Today’s update is brief, but it does include a couple of important observations about the behavior of cannabis stocks in recent weeks, as well as updates on all the portfolio stocks.
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CBD Stocks Soar
I take a dose of CBD twice a day. I think it works. I sleep better and have less discomfort in my finger joints—early signs of arthritis. But I’m not sure that it’s working, because there have been no major medical on...
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While the long-term prospects for this industry remain very bright, and I’m thrilled to be your guide to these opportunities, the short-term risks are now high. Which means that someday, there will be a correction, and some investors, particularly those who bought at top,...
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Awareness of cannabis is definitely up, but there are still major friction points, which will continue at least until the U.S. government legalizes marijuana as it has just legalized hemp.
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Strength and Rotation
Sometimes investing is easy; sometimes it’s difficult. 2019 has been a piece of cake, so far, especially for investors in marijuana stocks.
While the S&P 500 is up 11.1%, year-to-date, the Marijuana Index is up 40.0%, and our own Marijuana Portfolio is 44.4%....
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Trends remain good for investors in the marijuana industry.
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The simplest reason is an imbalance of supply and demand; if supply is insufficient to meet demand, as it often is in a brand new industry, prices rise. That’s one reason marijuana stocks have been rising, overall, for the past few years.
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Marijuana is still far from universally accepted, and until it is, the sector will continue to have great growth potential. That’s how investing works.
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Stocks in the marijuana sector are off to a flying start this year.
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As we approach the end of the year, and the entire investing world seems to be worrying about interest rates and tariffs, the question in my mind is whether now is a good time to buy some more marijuana stocks.
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Just a quick update on two of our positions and a bit of an educational component by using the strategy of averaging up, rather than averaging down.
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