We’re looking at economic data that could push interest rates upward (rising food price inflation and business expansion) and we’re also looking at economic data that could push rates downward (GDP potentially falling due to China tariffs, and slowing employment numbers).
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Market Views
Be Ready for Profit-Taking
I see yields and stocks falling considerably more than this in the months ahead. Likewise, I think gold’s countdown is nearing its end, prior to re-launching in more dramatic fashion its interrupted secular bull market.
But these moves—or at least of...
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Assessing the Retail Stock Landscape
After rising 25.3% from Christmas Eve 2018 through April 30, 2019, the S&P 500 stock index fell 6.6% in May. A pullback was clearly overdue, and there was plenty of fuel to keep investors on the edge of their Many...
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Many of our stocks are still recovering from the steep stock market downturn that occurred in the fourth quarter of 2018. As long as their fundamentals (profits, valuation, etc.) remain strong, I’m going to give those stocks some rope and allow them to recover.
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After rising 25% from its December low to its May high, the S&P 500 index is finally taking a breather. I don’t expect a shocking price drop like we saw in December. Rather, I anticipate the S&P 500 receding to 2,750, which would down...
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Market Views
Watch for Violation of Lows
Technically, not much has changed since last week. Momentum indicators on the major averages remain overbought for the short, intermediate, and the long term. Market sentiment shows high optimism (a contrary indicator), suggesting short-term caution. Today’s decline and were...
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Property & Casualty Insurance Stocks Are On My Radar
Today I’m taking the opportunity to remove two stocks from the portfolios, in the quest to (a) pare back the number of stocks in the portfolios and (b) add new stocks to the portfolios. Clearly, two...
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When a famous company’s stock falls, there are lessons to be learned that can help you improve your game. Shares of 3M Co. (MMM) fell last week when first-quarter results revealed revenue and profits that did not meet the market’s expectations.
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Let me tell you about the greatest options trade I saw in my 10 years on the Chicago Board of Options Exchange (CBOE) - and what I learned from it.
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There are three changes to the portfolio today.
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We have obviously lived through a very difficult period in the stock market recently, from which most of the portfolio stocks are recovering or have already recovered. Hopefully we will not see another similarly ugly stock market downturn for several years, but there no...
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The unemployment-stock market correlation is a picture-perfect inverse on a chart. Now that unemployment can't sink much lower, where do stocks go?
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You may have noticed that the price of West Texas crude oil is up about 48% since it bottomed in late December.
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Market Views
Still Bullish but Cautious
Today’s rally, sparked by better than expected manufacturing data from the U.S and China, was worldwide. Twenty-four out of the twenty-five international ETFs that we track finished higher.
The Dow surged +329 (+1.27%) and easily took out its February highs. of...
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A Rising Stock Market Brings Opportunites Today
U.S. stock market indexes have emerged from recent trading ranges and embarked on renewed uptrends as they seek to retrace all-time highs that were established in August through October 2018. Your stock portfolios will likely achieve additional appreciation...
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The March flooding in Nebraska and neighboring Midwest and Great Plains states is devastating to farmers, crops and livestock. Consumers can expect prolonged food price inflation that reaches around the globe.
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U.S. stocks markets are now continuing their rebound from the horrendous fourth-quarter 2018 market action. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ indexes look quite bullish, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) lags a bit.
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With wild swings in the stock market these last six months, how should you approach the next six? Our Cabot analysts offer their best stock market tips.
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I’m as “political” as they come, but I don’t make investing decisions based on politics. I make my decisions based on corporate successes (which show up via profit and revenue growth), economic facts (definitely not economic speculation) and stock market trends.
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The market is stuck in an intermediate-term trading range, and could be for a while. But with no recession in sight, you should be buying stocks now.
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