Market Iffy, but Growth Stocks Buoyant
Back when I started at Cabot in 1999, it was the middle of the internet bubble, which itself occurred at the tail end of what was a massive five-year run in the market. Every dip was bought, and need...
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The Roller Coaster Ride Continues
Back in my younger days I was a big fan of roller coasters—not that it was a regular thing, but whether on vacation to Disney or Universal Studios or just a day trip to a local theme park, I’d hit...
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Can Growth Break Free
from the Chop (Part II)
Near the end of July, growth stocks had just suffered a big dip earlier that month, with many falling down toward key support areas. But instead of keeling over, many rebounded nicely, including a few leaders moved...
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More Good than Bad
In our last issue, we asked the question on this page whether growth stocks could break free from what had been weeks (months?) of choppy conditions—could we see a persistent buying spree among big investors that drives a slew of higher?...
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Can Growth Break Free From the Chop?
In our opinion, there are three main things about the market that make it difficult for most investors to succeed. The first is its contrary nature—oftentimes, many of the same qualities that help you succeed in the world...
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Can’t Shake the Sellers
Because most of us are long-only players (focusing our time looking at what to buy, not short), we usually think of things from the perspective of buyers. There’s nothing wrong with that, per se—a lot of my commentary and analysis focused...
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Still Tricky, Still Challenging—but Also Still Improving
Through the first half of the year, 2021 has been about as tricky as we can remember, at least for growth stock investors. Rotation and news-driven moves have been the norm, with many leading (or formerly leading) titles...
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Still (Mostly) a Meat Grinder
In the last issue we wrote about the baby steps the market had taken since mid-May—it wasn’t anything decisive, but after suffering a ton of damage, growth stocks were slowly improving, with some big-volume rallies, more stocks setting up multi-month...
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Baby Steps
Three weeks ago, growth stocks were in ruins, and we don’t think that’s much of an exaggeration—while the Nasdaq was only 8.5% off its high, things like the Russell 2000 Growth Fund (IWO), which we write about later in this issue, sat than...
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Biding our Time
It’s been a downer of a three months for growth stocks, so we want to start with a positive note, partially in response to some worried questions we’ve started to get as the sellers really dug in their heels last week: term,...
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Back in the Soup
During the past month, the way we thought about what was going on was that growth stocks had finally put themselves into a position to get going after a two and a half month stretch of tough, choppy trading. Instead narrow,...
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Seeing More Setups, but Still in the Spin Cycle
Two-plus months ago, speculation was running rampant and most growth stocks had made giant moves over the prior six to nine months. So when the sellers finally stepped up and cracked the intermediate-term uptrend in growth...
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Sellers Fading—but Will the Buyers Show Up?
We’re all about going with the evidence, and when it comes to growth stocks, the evidence was nearly uniformly negative (or at least not positive) for most of the past month. The vast majority of leading stocks, many...
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Less is More
In the real world, persistence is almost always associated with good things. If you’re a salesperson, you don’t give up when a few accounts turn you down; you keep selling until one customer bites. If your team is developing a new they...
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Open to Anything, but Playing the Odds
Last year saw a ton of “wow, we haven’t seen this kind of unusual market action in decades!” situations, but instead of reverting back to normal behavior, 2021 has had plenty of tricks up its sleeve as The...
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More Cracks Appear
At the start of November we saw a couple of blastoff-type indicators flash green (like the Three Day Thrust rule), and that turned out to be the start of a powerful intermediate-term advance. During the next two-plus months, progress was relative there...
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Simply Put: Very Impressive Action
Two weeks ago, the major indexes and some individual stocks began to flash abnormal action, a couple of key leaders were threatening to break down and some late-in-the-advance type of action (heavily shorted stocks going nuts) was occurring. Importantly, the...
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Unexpected Events Occur Frequently
One of the unique things about the market (and a big reason so many investors have trouble) is that it doesn’t follow the usual “bell curve” of probabilities that dominates the real world. For instance, given that the market’s average is...
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Taking Things on a Stock-by-Stock Basis
We believe one of the main reasons our system has proved durable is that it doesn’t focus on just one or two factors, but incorporates things from different angles. For instance, when selecting stocks, we’re not only looking charts...
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Happy New Year
It’s been a long, strange 12 months, but it’s also been a very prosperous period, at least for growth investors—with one day left in the year, the Model Portfolio is up around 60%, easily besting most major indexes. Happily, that builds our...
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