From Cabot Top Ten Trader
The market had another decent week, with the major indexes finishing above key moving averages, though all are still stuck in multi-month ranges. But the calm action hid another round of vicious rotation beneath the surface, with most growth-oriented at...
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The market’s had another rotational week—the big-cap indexes have done OK (S&P 500 and Nasdaq up around 1%), small-cap indexes have done even better (up nearly 2%), but growth stocks have suffered another round of heavy selling, with many falling to new correction lows.
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While we’re growing more optimistic that the next big move will be up, we continue to advise a cautious stance as the market’s numerous crosscurrents continue—the indexes are still range bound, there’s rotation under the surface and relatively few stocks are hitting new highs.
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There’s been a variety of news pertaining to airlines, and also to the Boeing 737 MAX jet problem, in recent weeks. It can be hard to know which industry-specific stocks to own and which to ignore. I always use profit growth as my line...
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The ping-pong action of the market has continued this week, with quick, sharp fluctuations based on daily (and often intraday and even overnight) news and rumors of the progress (or not) of the U.S.-China trade negotiations, including this morning’s good-looking pop. Frankly, we encouraged...
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Patience Precedes Profits
We regularly write about practicing patience with your winning stocks, and that will always be a key factor in making big money—unless you’re a savant, you’ll find that many of your trades will offset over time (small losses, break-evens, small wins, with...
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The markets have been quiet, heading into earnings season, which begins next week with financial stocks and a couple of our stocks move to Buy recommendations today after recent pullbacks.
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For most of September, the trend of the major indexes was tilted up, but it was still hard to make much money—just about any stock that was near its peak stagnated and, eventually, hit an air pocket. Meanwhile, stocks that enjoyed solid advances a..
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Be cautious. The selling pressure has spread to the rest of the market, with the recent decline cracking a bunch of stocks and causing our Cabot Tides to turn negative.
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Aggravation-to-Profit Ratio: High
Everybody loves a persistent uptrend in growth stocks, especially us; we know how to find the winners and ride them for the majority of their advance. That’s where the real money is! And while we don’t ever root for a big we...
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It’s been a very interesting week to this point, with another round of heavy selling (especially in growth stocks) as a new uncertainty arose (impeachment), bringing many indexes back down to intermediate-term support.
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The S&P 500 index continues to act well, rising to new highs in July, conducting a very orderly pullback in August, and rebounding in September. To my eyes, the price chart still looks strong.
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Following last week’s vicious rotation, this week has been refreshingly quiet. As of Friday morning, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are nearly unchanged on the week (up a smidge). Considering we’ve had some worrisome headlines (especially the Saudi oil attacks), we take calm...
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Stocks rallied early in the day but then skidded after that, closing not that far from where they started. The environment remains mixed, with the market looking fine but growth stocks a bit sluggish.
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Oil prices are volatile now that about half of Saudi Arabia’s oil production is temporarily curtailed. Rising oil prices can help oil and chemical stocks, and hurt airline stocks.
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The rotation that we started to pick up on a couple of weeks ago was unleashed late last Friday and the first couple of days of this week, with just about any stock and sector that’s enjoyed a good run this year coming pressure—including...
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Mixed Messages
The market is never easy to read, but the past week has been about as confusing as you’ll ever see. On one hand, leading stocks have been taken to the woodshed. Software and cybersecurity, which were two of the best performers this have...
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The S&P 500 (SPX) stock index rose to new all-time highs in July, commenced a pullback during the final week of that month, then traded between 2840-2940 in a very orderly pattern during August. For that, I am grateful.
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There remains a lot of news-driven action and crosscurrents, but when looking at the major indexes, the market’s had its second straight constructive week. As we write this, both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are looking at 1.8%-ish gains in the holiday-shortened week.
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Remain cautious, but stay open minded. We’re encouraged by the recent action from the market, including some of the power and breadth of the rally.
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