From Cabot Top Ten Trader
We’re still mostly bullish—leading stocks are strong and the market’s main trends are up, and those are the two most important pieces of evidence to us. That said, it’s vital to keep your feet on the ground here, as risk...
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Growth stocks remain very strong, and our market timing indicators remain positive, so you should remain mostly bullish. Of course, you should also keep your feet on the ground, as there’s little doubt things are fairly frothy here so some potholes could occur any...
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Stocks produced one of their strongest quarters in living memory, with the S&P 500 returning 20.5% in the period ending June 30. The index has nearly fully regained its previously-lost value, declining only 6% for the first half of the year. Investors frequently how...
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Still the Same Story
Most times, the market environment is in a constant state of change, so when we report to you our latest thoughts on this page, there’s plenty to discuss—rotation among sectors, major moves in the indexes, earnings season or some big-picture that...
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The major indexes are up as we start a holiday-shortened week, with the Dow up 373 points as of 11:15 am and the Nasdaq up 24 points. But it’s a heavy rotational day, with the broad market up but leading growth stocks getting hit.
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You should remain bullish and flexible. Most of the evidence remains positive, including the trends of the major indexes and action of leading growth stocks.
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There have been so many changes in 2020, it pains me to heap another change onto your laps, and yet it is time for me to do so. I’ve implemented the next phase of my longtime career plan by establishing a U.S. equity fund...
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Much More Good than Bad
We believe it was the late, great Marty Zweig who once wrote that, in the world of the market, you’re never going to get everything lined up in one direction—if you had 100 market timing indicators, to get 85 90...
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Right now, U.S. stock markets are surging, largely due to the Federal Reserve’s bond-buying binge. As bond prices rise from the increased demand, bond yields fall (and they’re tremendously low).
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Remain bullish, but pick your spots. Today was a very brutal day, but it hasn’t changed the evidence, at least not yet—our trend-following measures are still bullish and, along with the recent blastoff indicators, tell us the odds still favor higher prices ahead further...
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Twelve times since 1970, the 90% blastoff indicator has flashed. It almost always means good things for stocks in the year ahead. Now it's flashing again.
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From an investor’s point of view, I will be cautious about owning P&C insurance stocks. We won’t know the cost of all the damage until second and third quarter earnings reports, but you can be sure that profits will suffer.
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Believe What You See
Most of the time, the stock market and U.S. economy are in gear—there are always fits and starts, but as the economy expands, earnings generally grow and that contributes to a bull market. But it’s the times when the two moving...
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Remain optimistic. Growth stocks have had a tough week, but the selling hasn’t been abnormal, few (if any) have broken down and today’s stabilization for many is a good sign.
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We have no changes in the Model Portfolio tonight, but we’re sending a special bulletin given the wild action in growth stocks over the past two days.
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The S&P 500 Index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average began new run-ups yesterday, while the NASDAQ Composite Index continues its uptrend. I’m glad that investors are continuing to make money during this market rebound.
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The Perfect isn’t the Enemy of the (Very) Good
In a perfect world, everything would be lined up on the bull side of the fence. Market timing-wise, not only would our Cabot Trend Lines and Cabot Tides be bullish, but investor sentiment would be the...
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In keeping with last week’s comments, the stock market continues to show a willingness to rise in the near term. More than any other industry, oil refining stocks offer strong upside, including two within our portfolios.
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The market’s evidence has worsened some this week—our Cabot Tides are now on the fence as the broad market has softened.
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The stock market continues to exhibit a willingness to rise in the near term. I’m seeing constructive price chart patterns on both the S&P 500 index and on many individual stocks.
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