Through most of the summer, investors had become increasingly confident about the strength and direction of the economic recovery, the likelihood of the arrival of several promising Covid vaccines, another round of federal economic stimulus and other favorable indicators.
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Technically, the market is now in an intermediate-term downtrend, which tells us that additional defensive measures would be prudent. In the very short term, however, I expect a bounce from today’s high-profile decline, so I’m mainly holding.
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Election season is now in full swing. In less than seven weeks, or only 49 days, the country will select its next president, representatives from all 435 House congressional districts, 35 senators and 12 state governors.
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Overall, our market-timing indicators remain bullish, and thus the prescription for investing success is to maintain a diversified portfolio of healthy stocks.
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Markets were abuzz this week with talk of a “tech meltdown,” with Tesla (TSLA) getting hit rather hard on Tuesday, falling more than 20% before bouncing back 10% yesterday.
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The recent (and ongoing?) tech momentum reversal appears to be due to a variety of concerns ranging from doubt about valuations, worries about the pace of the economy’s recovery, the lack of another stimulus package and slowing growth in the Federal Reserve’s asset purchases.
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Overall, our market-timing indicators remain bullish, and thus the prescription for investing success is to maintain a diversified portfolio of healthy stocks.
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The bull market remains in full force, even as various signs (sentiment and charts) caution that a correction is increasingly likely.
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The Cabot Global Stocks Explorer portfolio had another good week, with four stocks all making major moves.
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Starting next Monday, August 31, before the market opens, the Dow Jones Industrial Average will have a new look.
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The market’s strength has been very impressive, and our market-timing indicators continue to tell us that the market will be higher in the months ahead.
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2020 has surely been one for the record books—the sharpest selloff in history from a record high to a bear market and then the sharpest rebound in history from a bear market to a new record high.
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Second quarter earnings season is winding down. It was quite a quarter! We’re impressed that so many companies have aggressively reduced their operating costs in the recently completed quarter.
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The broad market continues to look very healthy, with good breadth that suggests the ultimate end of this bull run is still months away.
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Markets are showing great resiliency as the S&P 500 nears a record and stocks have risen all but one day in August. Optimism about an eventual stimulus bill and the prospect of declining Covid-19 cases and a vaccine are still supporting the economy markets...
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We are mostly through the bulk of earnings season and it has been enlightening, particularly as we learn about the pandemic’s effects on profits. Earnings season should be a period when company results can be clearly measured, especially since we are dealing with numbers.
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Despite a few cracks in growth stocks in the last couple trading days, the overall stock market continues to hum along, with the S&P 500 a mere 1% below all-time highs as of this writing.
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The market’s main trend remains up, and thus our goal continues to be maintaining a full and diversified portfolio of high-potential stocks.
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Earnings reports have been mixed and market activity muted this week, but today the four technology giants will report after the market closes. Germany reported that its economy contracted the most on record, shrinking 10.1% in the second quarter.
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By far the worst performing sector in recent years has been the energy sector. From its peak in mid-year 2014 when oil prices reached over $100/barrel to its current state of complete disarray, the S&P Energy Sector index has collapsed 63%. For comparison, broad...
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