options markets Archives
Over the Falls
During the past few weeks, we’ve seen huge up days, crushing down days, dramatic reversals (like today’s), big earnings gaps (up and down) and a slew of big-font headlines ranging from U.S.-China trade rumors, views from Fed members concerning rate hikes, resignations...
Positive Action, but Need to See More
After a hellacious October that saw many indexes, sectors and stocks crash over a three-week period, the past week and half has been a welcome relief. With today’s solid post-election rally, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq have about...
Trends are Down Until Proven Otherwise
When volatility picks up in the market, often after a sharp decline, investors are bombarded with predictions, many of them dramatically bullish (this is the buying opportunity of the century!) or bearish (another global financial crisis has begun!), in...
September was definitely a month of yellow flags—we saw lots of rotation out of growth stocks, two severe bouts of selling in leaders, and lots of sloppy, volatile action, which often signifies distribution after a long run. As we wrote in our last there...
Sellers Look Worn Out
From mid June through mid August, the market was choppy, narrow, news-driven and rotational—not a great environment for making money, and in fact, we got knocked out of a few stocks as they cracked support, often following earnings reports. And two-month...
Growth Stocks Hit, Bull Market Fine
For most stocks, 2018 has been a slog, with financials, industrials, consumer staples, transports and other areas doing much more chopping than trending. Growth stocks, though, have been winners—growth-oriented indexes like the Nasdaq and S&P 600 SmallCap have very...
Not Perfect, But Pretty Good
Just about every morning when we check the financial media’s scuttlebutt, about 80% of the news is negative. Many of these are fundamental—the trade war, the Fed’s rate hike path and unwinding of its balance sheet—though some concern the itself,...
Growth Stock Bonanza
Not much has changed over the past two weeks when it comes to the overall market. The intermediate- and longer-term trends are still pointed up, with growth-oriented indexes like the Nasdaq and S&P 600 SmallCap leading the way. On the other many...
Firm Foundation in Place
When you’re a student of the market, most of your focus isn’t on minute details like debt maturity schedules, gross margins and depreciation expenses, but instead on how the market actually works. And when it comes to market timing, one the...
Swing and a Miss by the Bulls
Three weeks ago the market was showing a classic bullish setup. The major indexes had tested and held their February lows and their 200-day moving averages, numerous broad market measures flashed positive divergences (which are seen at intermediate-term...
In this topsy-turvy market, it helps to know how the big hedge funds and institutions are spending their money. This Options Barometer gives you the answer.
Crocuses and Snowdrops
We’ve explained before how our market timing system is divided between the primary indicators (the trends of the major indexes and the action of leading growth stocks) and secondary indicators (things like sentiment, the action of the broad market, divergences and like).