The Market is Expensive But Don’t Fight the Tape
Depending on who you follow to get your financial news, you may be aware that the U.S. stock market is quite expensive and there are several warning signs that prospective returns could be weak.
For example, S&P...
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The Big Idea
There are nearly 6 million men across the U.S. and Europe currently living with prostate cancer. Roughly 625,000 more are added to the list each year. That makes prostate cancer easily one of the most common types of cancer affecting men.
Toss benign...
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2021 Kicks Off With a Bang
A funny thing happened while I was preparing this issue yesterday. Not funny ha-ha. Funny odd.
I was updating my performance tables and noticed that the performance of the Marijuana Index year-to-date was exactly the same as its performance all...
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How I Pick Micro-Caps
It’s been a while since I’ve explained my process for picking micro-cap stocks so I figured it would be worthwhile to review.
It can be extremely profitable to invest in growth companies, as any Tesla or Amazon shareholder will tell you.
But is...
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The Big Idea
In 2012 Matt Ehrlichman, who had just sold his start-up technology company Thriva to Active Network for $60 million, was moving his family into their newly built home and dealing with all the hassles home construction and moving required. He thought must...
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The Point of Peak Perception?
It’s a truism of investing that stocks bottom when the news is terrible and pessimism and fear are the prevailing sentiments—but peak when the news is good and optimism and greed reign.
You have only to look back to March a..
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Focus on the Fundamentals
Sentiment indicators continue to suggest the market may be due for a pullback.
The Citi Panic/Euphoria model suggests sentiment is high right now.
Historically speaking, when this model sees “euphoria” in the market, 12-month forward returns look poor.
Another interesting sentiment data point S&P...
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The Big Idea
For the last nine months the world has been mostly focused on the Covid-19 pandemic and the related importance of testing, treatments and, hopefully, an effective cure in the form of vaccinations.
But while the pandemic has taken center stage in 2020 remains...
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The Future is Full of Surprises
One of the oft-told tales of the California Gold Rush is that while most miners failed to strike it rich, the real money-makers were the people selling shovels—and of course that immigrant from Bavaria, Levi Strauss, who sold denim...
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Full Steam Ahead
Well, it took an additional four days after election day for a winner to be declared, but on Saturday, Joe Biden was officially projected to be the 46th U.S. President.
The race was a lot closer than many anticipated, and President Trump challenging...
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The Big Idea
The cell and gene therapy market is one of the fastest growing and most exciting areas of medicine. Analysts see it growing at an average clip of 30% through 2025, powered by expected approvals of more therapies over the next five are...
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Investing in a World of Uncertainty
“You can only see as far as your headlights … but you can make the whole trip that way.” E.L. Doctorow
Short-term, the world is full of uncertainty today, with a major election around the corner and a pandemic to...
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America's infrastructure is badly in need of costly repairs. And these four infrastructure stocks and ETFs stand to benefit.
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Going Contrarian
Ideally, I like to look for companies that are operating in industries with secular tailwinds and long runways for growth (think Liberated Syndication or P10 Holdings).
I usually don’t like to invest in overly cyclical industries because a lot is out of the control.
However,...
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The Big Idea
It wasn’t long ago that the only items you’d bring in your car to improve the user experience were tapes and CDs. Maybe you had a dash-mounted GPS unit. These things either worked or they didn’t. There wasn’t too much messing times...
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Take Advantage of Recent Volatility
Over the Labor Day holiday, I was up with my extended family in Arrowsic, Maine. We enjoyed going for a cruise on the Kennebec River and also got in one last beach day. It was also a peaceful setting reflect...
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The Big Idea
In the early days of social media people mostly wanted to connect with friends and family members to share stories and a few pictures about their lives. There were also those that wanted to network with colleagues and make connections to land...
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Getting Defensive
This week, I’m on vacation in scenic Manchester-by-the-Sea, Massachusetts. We chose Manchester-by-the-Sea because of the beautiful beaches, but just as importantly, because that’s where my in-laws live.
My wife and I have learned (the hard way) that going on vacation isn’t much of vacation...
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The Big Idea
To say that the U.S. healthcare system is complicated, confusing, and expensive would be a colossal understatement.
One could argue that “system,” defined as an organized framework or method, isn’t a very good term at all. Perhaps “landscape,” which encompasses both existing transitory...
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Micro Caps Continue to be Ignored
This week, we profile Greystone Logistics (GLGI), a classic micro-cap company that is growing earnings 140% this year but only trades at 6.6x earnings.
Why is the company so cheap? Because it’s a micro cap!
If this company had a cap...
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