Prepare yourself for more ups and downs in our medtech & biotech stocks if this debate heats up. I’m not planning to step out of the space since I think this will pass and we can still do quite well with these types stocks.
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Small-cap discretionary, energy, financials, industrials, technology and materials are all moving higher. That’s a healthy mix, and it’s helped push the S&P 600 Small Cap Index back up near overhead resistance.
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The Perfect Isn’t the Enemy of the Good
One reason the market is such an interesting place is that there are always differing opinions even among the smartest and most thorough investors. The late Martin Zweig once said that, if you had 100 market it...
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The market has been jumping around lately as it digests the Fed’s announcement last week that it expects to hold interest rates steady until 2020 (and just one hike in that year) and would stop shrinking its balance sheet later in 2019.
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Short Term Remains Murky
Last week on this page we wrote that, while the longer-term outlook remained positive, we were starting to pick up on some cracks in the foundation—the broad market had stopped going up in late February and, despite a push to highs...
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Right now, keep new positions small and don’t get fooled into thinking we’re on a one-way conveyor belt higher. If this bull market is to stay healthy and continue, we’ll need to see a pause in leading stocks and some catch up performance areas...
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In many individual stocks I’d say the action is starting to lean more towards frothy, than bearish. That’s why I’ve been pulling on the reins in recent weeks, moving more stocks to hold and suggesting taking smaller positions if you’re buying.
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Higher Prices Ahead
It’s mid-March in New England, which means we’re starting to see signs of spring—birds are flocking back, the gang of wild turkeys in our town are flirting and gobbling, the days are getting longer in a hurry and work boats are moving...
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The S&P 600 Small Cap Index has pulled back a bit more after trading up near the high end of my expected trading range last week. We’ll continue to watch this range (900 to 1,000) as I expect the index to bounce around it...
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The Evidence is Clear
There are many times—we’d even say most times—when the market’s evidence is at least somewhat mixed. Some major indexes might look good, for instance, but others are lagging. Growth stocks may be acting well, but the broad market is iffy. conversely,...
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Small caps continue to move higher so keep leaning bullish, but be mindful that we’re near a resistance area and that it’s equally likely we will see some softness as it is that we will see more strength.
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Small caps keep grinding higher. And many of the stocks in our portfolio are trading at, or near, all-time highs.
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It’s Not the News that Counts
One of the biggest banana peels that many investors slip up on is the desire to focus on the news, be it economic reports, high-profile earnings releases or important political rumors (like the current U.S.-China trade talks). But it...
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The market continues to look good as stocks are grinding higher with a few normal-looking down days mixed in (like yesterday) to keep investors honest. Average in, spread out your buys across different stocks, and take note of the current trading range and support,...
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Going According to Script
A punishing, out-of-nowhere, three-month decline that takes apart many popular stocks and sends the indexes reeling. A wave of panic selling at the bottom that produces historic oversold readings and massive pessimism—even though many growth stocks show resilience during the weeks...
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We’re Optimistic
Just three weeks ago the market was on its knees, as the major indexes were down more than 20% from their highs, the average growth stock was in tatters and there were air pockets galore—the final four days of the decline saw Dow...
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Reasons for Hope, but Not for Buying
The market has been a bummer during the past three months, with two massive downlegs (12% to 16% during the first three weeks of October, and then after some choppiness, another 16% to 18% during the first weeks...
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Keep Your Powder Dry
Investing isn’t easy, but most people make it far more difficult than it really is. Every day all day, there are commentators and analysts on TV and dozens of articles pumped out by the online financial media dissecting recent earnings (FedEx...
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Sellers Still Lurking
The first three and a half weeks of October were brutal, with the S&P 500 (down 11%) and Nasdaq (down 14%) cascading significantly, turning both our Cabot Tides and Cabot Trend Lines bearish as we raised a boatload of cash. But those...
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Over the Falls
During the past few weeks, we’ve seen huge up days, crushing down days, dramatic reversals (like today’s), big earnings gaps (up and down) and a slew of big-font headlines ranging from U.S.-China trade rumors, views from Fed members concerning rate hikes, resignations...
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