This has been another tough week for most growth-oriented small cap stocks as the sellers have clearly taken control. There are easy targets to point to as driving the decline, namely fear of inflation. But the reality is it is mostly just a of...
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Back in the Soup
During the past month, the way we thought about what was going on was that growth stocks had finally put themselves into a position to get going after a two and a half month stretch of tough, choppy trading. Instead narrow,...
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May hasn’t started out exuberantly, with an early pull-back in the high-momentum tech stocks dragging down the broader indexes.
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Even though stocks have been wobbly today the last week has been very constructive for our portfolio. As of mid-day today, our portfolio is up an average of 4% from last Thursday’s close, and only two positions are down (neither by more than 2%).
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Seeing More Setups, but Still in the Spin Cycle
Two-plus months ago, speculation was running rampant and most growth stocks had made giant moves over the prior six to nine months. So when the sellers finally stepped up and cracked the intermediate-term uptrend in growth...
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In the last 48 hours I have received two unsolicited offers to buy property we own. The first was for our second home in Vermont, a handyman’s special I bought in 2004 and sank nearly a decade of blood, sweat and tears into completing...
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It’s been another mostly constructive week as many of our stocks inch higher and the economic picture continues to improve.
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Sellers Fading—but Will the Buyers Show Up?
We’re all about going with the evidence, and when it comes to growth stocks, the evidence was nearly uniformly negative (or at least not positive) for most of the past month. The vast majority of leading stocks, many...
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There’s no doubt things are looking a little better out there as many software, MedTech and other growth stocks retested their March lows late last week then turned north. The timing of that short-term reversal, coinciding with the end of the first quarter, definitely...
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Determining a company’s underlying value is difficult, and clearly more of an art than a science.
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Less is More
In the real world, persistence is almost always associated with good things. If you’re a salesperson, you don’t give up when a few accounts turn you down; you keep selling until one customer bites. If your team is developing a new they...
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It continues to be a very tough market, and with our exposure to small- and mid-cap growth stocks our portfolio continues to feel pressure. After some signs of stabilization last week the sellers are back in control this week and many names look to...
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Neither the broad market nor the S&P 600 Small Cap index have done much over the last week. But both received a small boost yesterday after the Fed upgraded its 2021 growth outlook and said it didn’t expect to raise rates until 2024.
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Open to Anything, but Playing the Odds
Last year saw a ton of “wow, we haven’t seen this kind of unusual market action in decades!” situations, but instead of reverting back to normal behavior, 2021 has had plenty of tricks up its sleeve as The...
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As promised in yesterday’s Special Bulletin today we’re looking past the big picture stuff to focus on our stocks. With one quick note … we just may have a three-day streak going! Yields have backed off and a lot of stocks from different are...
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We’re watching market sentiment gyrate sharply between “the economic reopening will boost earnings” and “the economic reopening will boost inflation”. Both outcomes are likely.
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More Cracks Appear
At the start of November we saw a couple of blastoff-type indicators flash green (like the Three Day Thrust rule), and that turned out to be the start of a powerful intermediate-term advance. During the next two-plus months, progress was relative there...
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The big picture for the market is that the uptrend is intact but under the surface we’re continuing to see pockets of turbulence. While the S&P 500 is just 2% off its high from last week and the S&P 600 Small Cap Index a..
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As mentioned last week, today’s Weekly Update will be an abbreviated version owing to the short work week and because of family commitments as our kids are out of school and I am solo parenting, making free writing time hard to come by. said,...
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Simply Put: Very Impressive Action
Two weeks ago, the major indexes and some individual stocks began to flash abnormal action, a couple of key leaders were threatening to break down and some late-in-the-advance type of action (heavily shorted stocks going nuts) was occurring. Importantly, the...
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