Cabot Small-Cap Confidential Weekly Update
Both large and small growth stocks continue to advance off their October lows despite all the political turmoil from the impeachment hearings.
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Both large and small growth stocks continue to advance off their October lows despite all the political turmoil from the impeachment hearings.
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The S&P 600 Index just made another run but called it quits at 990 and has turned south.
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I wasn’t expecting that of the seven companies we had reporting Monday through Thursday this week that the average gain would be nearly 9% though. What an intense week. As you’ve no doubt noticed, our portfolio has done well this week.
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There has been no big picture change in the market over the last week. As expected, everyone is following earnings reports and trying to make broad assumptions based on what individual companies are reporting.
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There is a lot of uncertainty out there, which isn’t an entirely new scenario. We’ll continue to try and play it a little safe right now by keeping all stocks previously rated hold at the same rating.
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I’m going to go off on a little tangent this week to share something with you that I think will help put this market, and the action in our stocks, into context.
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For the first time in a while we’ve had a relatively calm week. On average, our portfolio is unchanged from last Thursday’s close.
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Looking at the broad market, it seemed like a calm week. Even a good week! The S&P 500 moved up near all-time highs and even the languishing S&P 600 Small Cap Index broke out of its funk and shot up near 2019 highs the...
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This is one of those periods when there’s not much going on in the market. Earnings season is essentially over, the summer is winding down, kids are about to go back to school and it feels like fall is right around the corner.
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With earnings season largely over most of our stocks are now moving based on news that affects the broad market, and less on company-specific trends, with a few exceptions.
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The big news that affected the market this week was, of course, the dreaded yield curve inversion. This happens when the 10-year Treasury yield goes below the 2-year yield.
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The market has been up, down and all over the place lately. So have our stocks. Oddly enough, from last Thursday’s close through yesterday’s close our portfolio is relatively unchanged—down just 2% using a simple average of each stock’s weekly return.
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Our portfolio is outperforming the index by roughly 100%, on average. But we’re not the only ones. Many targeted mutual funds are also demolishing the Russell 2000 Small Cap Index.
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This week marks the beginning of the second-quarter earnings season. I don't foresee any major changes in the trends in any of our companies, but stock price reactions and trends don't always line up in the short term.
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This week’s market recap is a familiar story—the major big-cap market indices are doing great! But the small cap index is still wallowing in the mud.
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Not surprisingly, this week wasn’t a great one for our portfolio. I had a feeling the party was winding down last week, when we had an average gain of 105% going and had just seen our stocks pop an average of 6% over days...
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This was another one of those weeks where you look at what the S&P 500 did—up 1.5% to a 52-week high—and you look at what the S&P 600 Small Cap Index did—up 1% to 945 and back above its 50-day line, but well its...
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With the market having come back strong since its swift retreat in early June the immediate threat of a larger correction has diminished. The S&P 500 index is back above its 50-day line and within a couple percentage points of its all-time high.
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Altogether it felt like a calm week. Considering the worsening performance of the S&P 600 Small Cap Index, which broke below its comfort zone, and the S&P 500, now 6% off its high, our portfolio’s resiliency continues to stand out.
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Looking at the broad market we see that the S&P 500 is just 4% off its recent high, has thus far held above support around 2,800 and remains above its long-term (200-day) moving average line. The Nasdaq dipped to its May 13 low 7,627,...
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