It’s been another week of mixed stock performance and assorted headlines that collectively give me the sense that, while a lot of investors may be shifting money around, there’s no real consensus yet on what will work and what won’t in the near-term.
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Back on August 13, when the broad market was strong and marijuana stocks were even stronger, I took partial profits in our four strongest stocks (which were also our four largest positions) because they looked very extended to the upside.
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Through most of the summer, investors had become increasingly confident about the strength and direction of the economic recovery, the likelihood of the arrival of several promising Covid vaccines, another round of federal economic stimulus and other favorable indicators.
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Technically, the market is now in an intermediate-term downtrend, which tells us that additional defensive measures would be prudent. In the very short term, however, I expect a bounce from today’s high-profile decline, so I’m mainly holding.
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The flavor of the market hasn’t changed in the last week, in my view. There is still a sense that many high growth stocks have run too far. I think the lesser-informed general public hears about the recent slide in the mega-caps (AAPL, MSFT,...
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The markets have been a bit choppy of late, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising to 29,000 at the beginning of the month, then retreating and rising again. It looks like Fall may be a little volatile. As you’ll see in our Advisor Barometer...
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There hasn’t been any real news about our stocks in the past week, but I’ve been watching the charts carefully, trying to decide whether it’s time to put some of our 35% cash back into the market, or to take more out, or simply...
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Election season is now in full swing. In less than seven weeks, or only 49 days, the country will select its next president, representatives from all 435 House congressional districts, 35 senators and 12 state governors.
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Overall, our market-timing indicators remain bullish, and thus the prescription for investing success is to maintain a diversified portfolio of healthy stocks.
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The market has served up a good deal of volatility lately and for the most part our stocks have handled it well (so far).
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Fundamentally, the only recent news regarding the marijuana industry is that the U.S. House of Representatives will vote on the MORE Act, which would deschedule marijuana and thereby legalize it federally, the week of September 21. Passage is likely. Getting through the Senate not.
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The recent (and ongoing?) tech momentum reversal appears to be due to a variety of concerns ranging from doubt about valuations, worries about the pace of the economy’s recovery, the lack of another stimulus package and slowing growth in the Federal Reserve’s asset purchases.
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Take Advantage of Recent Volatility
Over the Labor Day holiday, I was up with my extended family in Arrowsic, Maine. We enjoyed going for a cruise on the Kennebec River and also got in one last beach day. It was also a peaceful setting reflect...
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Overall, our market-timing indicators remain bullish, and thus the prescription for investing success is to maintain a diversified portfolio of healthy stocks.
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The Big Idea
In the early days of social media people mostly wanted to connect with friends and family members to share stories and a few pictures about their lives. There were also those that wanted to network with colleagues and make connections to land...
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Three weeks ago, when the marijuana sector seemed extremely extended to the upside, we sold 25% of each of the positions in our four U.S. multi-state operators
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The bull market remains in full force, even as various signs (sentiment and charts) caution that a correction is increasingly likely.
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There isn’t any major news for any of our stocks.
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Thank you to everyone who joined us last week for our virtual Cabot Summit. We really missed seeing you in person, but were so happy that we could at least share some of our investing ideas and strategies during this strange time in we...
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Starting next Monday, August 31, before the market opens, the Dow Jones Industrial Average will have a new look.
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