As we move closer to earnings season for our portfolio holdings (really gets underway the week after next) we see many small-cap growth names (and growth stocks in general) recovering nicely from the drawdowns in late September.
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Forget the virus. Forget about the Fed tightening. It’s all about earnings now.
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A few weeks ago, at the annual Morningstar Investment Conference in Chicago, two investing icons debated the merits of value versus growth. On the value side was Rob Arnott, founder and head of Research Affiliates, with Cathie Wood, founder and head of ARK Management,...
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The biggest stories this week weren’t all that different from last week, namely supply chains, interest rates/inflation, and Covid. But this week has a decidedly different feel to it, possibly because we’ve added earnings season into the mix and, so far, that’s going well...
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Last week, we wrote about how lower quality, in both home appliances and tangible money, debases value and is a form of inflation. Today’s note includes some of our current views on inflation and capital markets, and what investors can do to help inflation’s...
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So far, October has been volatile. There have been strong rallies that quickly become undone in the following days. The market is still even for the month, but it looks very unsteady.
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In the olden days, when kings and governments minted coins made of gold and silver, people were tempted to shave tiny amounts off the edges of the coins, thus stealing some value for themselves.
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After a delayed rection to last week’s Fed commentary Treasury yields have shot up (though they are still very low). To put it in mortgage rate terms a 30-yr. refi has gone from around 2.875% to 3.0% over the last week.
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The market had its worse day since March yesterday. The worry de jour was the debt limit. I believe the issue will be resolved long before a default occurs one way or another.
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Across almost the entire length of the yield curve, interest rates are ticking up. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield reached 1.53% and may be headed back toward its December 2019 rate of about 1.90%. In an economy that is showing rapid growth, with well...
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The big developments over the last week have been the situation with the potential failure of Evergrande (Chinese property developer) and interest rates. As of mid-morning Thursday, we appear to be moving past these potential issues.
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Today, markets are rallying as much as they fell on Monday ahead of the Fed meeting this afternoon.
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It’s not news that the stock market has been sloppy lately. After the steady march upward to a doubling of the S&P 500 from the early 2020 low, and a 33% increase from year-end 2019 before the pandemic, one can hardly be disappointed the...
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After a stunningly strong market so far this year, with the S&P 500 producing a 20% total return through Monday, the slow grind-down of most stocks since early September has seemed interminable. The 1,100 largest stocks in our 3,000-stock database have declined only in...
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The S&P 500 has finally failed to make a new high every day lately and is 2% below the high-water mark! That doesn’t seem like it should be news but in this market it’s worth noting.
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So far, the post-Labor Day market has been just a little bit crummy. Stocks have drifted slightly lower over the past week. While that’s nothing alarming, it is a reversal of the summer market where stocks were drifting slightly higher. It could be the...
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Despite more grumblings out there about how “we are due for a pullback,” stocks continue to hold up. In fact, many growth stocks have done far better than that and are jumping higher on almost a daily basis.
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This week, we are rolling forward our valuation comments – generally dropping our valuation based on 2021 estimates, where appropriate, while adding commentary based on estimates for 2023. Most analysts project that all of their companies will have higher earnings in future years, we...
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Although it went by way too fast, it’s been a glorious summer in the market. The S&P 500 is up 8% since Memorial Day. And the index is now up over 20% so far in 2021.
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Rested and recharged. And, ready for what we anticipate will be a very interesting remaining four months of the year for the stock market.
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