Back on August 13, when the broad market was strong and marijuana stocks were even stronger, I took partial profits in our four strongest stocks (which were also our four largest positions) because they looked very extended to the upside.
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Through most of the summer, investors had become increasingly confident about the strength and direction of the economic recovery, the likelihood of the arrival of several promising Covid vaccines, another round of federal economic stimulus and other favorable indicators.
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Technically, the market is now in an intermediate-term downtrend, which tells us that additional defensive measures would be prudent. In the very short term, however, I expect a bounce from today’s high-profile decline, so I’m mainly holding.
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There hasn’t been any real news about our stocks in the past week, but I’ve been watching the charts carefully, trying to decide whether it’s time to put some of our 35% cash back into the market, or to take more out, or simply...
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Election season is now in full swing. In less than seven weeks, or only 49 days, the country will select its next president, representatives from all 435 House congressional districts, 35 senators and 12 state governors.
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Overall, our market-timing indicators remain bullish, and thus the prescription for investing success is to maintain a diversified portfolio of healthy stocks.
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Fundamentally, the only recent news regarding the marijuana industry is that the U.S. House of Representatives will vote on the MORE Act, which would deschedule marijuana and thereby legalize it federally, the week of September 21. Passage is likely. Getting through the Senate not.
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A High Growth/Low Volatility Stock for an Uncertain Market
Here we are. The cold Labor Day slap in the face has arrived.
For several weeks I have warned that investors could change their attitudes when the rubber hit the road after Labor Day. As people off...
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The recent (and ongoing?) tech momentum reversal appears to be due to a variety of concerns ranging from doubt about valuations, worries about the pace of the economy’s recovery, the lack of another stimulus package and slowing growth in the Federal Reserve’s asset purchases.
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Overall, our market-timing indicators remain bullish, and thus the prescription for investing success is to maintain a diversified portfolio of healthy stocks.
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Three weeks ago, when the marijuana sector seemed extremely extended to the upside, we sold 25% of each of the positions in our four U.S. multi-state operators
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Don’t Fight the Fed?
The U.S. Federal Reserve Bank, called by its colloquial name “the Fed” even on its website, made its informal but landmark policy change official last week. For the foreseeable future, the Fed will keep interest rates near zero, focusing almost on...
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The bull market remains in full force, even as various signs (sentiment and charts) caution that a correction is increasingly likely.
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Starting next Monday, August 31, before the market opens, the Dow Jones Industrial Average will have a new look.
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The market’s strength has been very impressive, and our market-timing indicators continue to tell us that the market will be higher in the months ahead.
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Second quarter earnings season is winding down. It was quite a quarter! We’re impressed that so many companies have aggressively reduced their operating costs in the recently completed quarter.
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The broad market continues to look very healthy, with good breadth that suggests the ultimate end of this bull run is still months away.
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One of the market truisms that I learned long ago concerns selling stocks near the end of a strong run-up—and because the odds are growing stronger that we’re nearing such a situation now, I bring it up today.
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We are mostly through the bulk of earnings season and it has been enlightening, particularly as we learn about the pandemic’s effects on profits. Earnings season should be a period when company results can be clearly measured, especially since we are dealing with numbers.
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You Can Bank on an Aging Population
What a spectacular market. The pandemic and economic crash was apparently just a temporary diversion for the stock market. The indexes are right back to nosebleed territory.
The S&P 500 is now within bad breath distance of the record...
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