U.S. stock markets have exhibited a high degree of volatility in recent weeks. There are lots of factors contributing to the turmoil, which will ebb and flow, probably for the rest of our lives. So let’s just circle back to why we’re here: here...
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Remain cautious, but stay flexible. Our Cabot Tides are effectively back on the fence as the upmove of the past few days has been encouraging—a bit more strength could restore the Tides green light.
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The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates this week, with a likely announcement on July 31. The stock market has fully priced in a rate reduction, which means if the Fed fails to lower rates, investors can expect the market to for...
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Remain bullish, but continue to take things on a stock-by-stock basis. Some potholes based on earnings, rotation and news flow are certainly possible, but overall, the bull market is in good shape and most leading stocks act well.
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Last week’s economic reports delivered good news, presuming that you are rooting for a stable or strong U.S. economy. June retail sales rose 0.4% vs. May, when economists expected an 0.2% increase; and retail sales also rose 3.4% vs. a year ago.
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From a stock market point of view, I suggest avoiding homebuilder stocks in the coming years. Companies that build single-family homes will be competing with a glut of existing homes on the market.
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Remain mostly bullish, but continue to pick your spots. The overall market looks great, and our own 7.5% Rule has flashed, portending higher prices in the months ahead.
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The news media continues to whip investors into a frenzy over the direction of interest rates. Depending on where you look, you can find knowledgeable financial pundits making the case for steady, unchanging interest rates or for the Fed to lower the fed rate...
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Lean bullish. The market’s evidence remains mostly positive, though the action of growth stocks over the past two weeks has been less than stellar. But when looking at the overall market, we see more positive vibes than negative ones.
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Last week’s much-awaited pronouncement by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) turned out to be a big “nothing burger.” I did not personally expect a cut in the fed funds rate.
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All across America, but especially in the Northeast and the Midwest, Boomers will be putting their homes up for sale, and often leaving those areas for warmer climates.
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Our Cabot Tides are yet to flash a green light, and thus we’re content to hold our strong, profitable stocks, but also to keep a chunk of cash on the sideline.
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We’re looking at economic data that could push interest rates upward (rising food price inflation and business expansion) and we’re also looking at economic data that could push rates downward (GDP potentially falling due to China tariffs, and slowing employment numbers).
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Our Cabot Tides are still clearly negative, and in recent days the selling pressure has broadened out, causing more stocks and sectors to take on water.
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Many of our stocks are still recovering from the steep stock market downturn that occurred in the fourth quarter of 2018. As long as their fundamentals (profits, valuation, etc.) remain strong, I’m going to give those stocks some rope and allow them to recover.
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The market’s three-day rally has been solid, but even better than that has been the action of growth stocks, many of which have zoomed to new highs.
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After rising 25% from its December low to its May high, the S&P 500 index is finally taking a breather. I don’t expect a shocking price drop like we saw in December. Rather, I anticipate the S&P 500 receding to 2,750, which would down...
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Remain bullish, but keep your eyes open. Our indicators and most of our stocks are still trending up, though we’re seeing some funky action that’s worth monitoring.
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When a famous company’s stock falls, there are lessons to be learned that can help you improve your game. Shares of 3M Co. (MMM) fell last week when first-quarter results revealed revenue and profits that did not meet the market’s expectations.
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There are three changes to the portfolio today.
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