It’s been a tough few months for cannabis investors, but no downtrend lasts forever, and yesterday’s blast-off by Aphria (APHA), which sparked buying across the sector, is a sign that the worst has almost certainly passed.
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Yesterday was the worst day of the year for cannabis stocks, with HEXO (no longer in our portfolio) leading the way down with a plunge of 22.5% after the company announced that revenue for the fiscal fourth quarter, ended July, would be $14.5 $16.5...
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The cannabis sector has been trending down since the end of March, giving back its spectacular gains from the start of the year, and until now I’ve remained optimistic about our stocks, partially because of their outstanding fundamental growth metrics but also because two...
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In the broad market, all is well, as all trend-following indicators are positive, and the number of stocks hitting new lows has been minuscule in recent days.
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One major factor in investing, particularly in small stocks and young sectors where growing pains are still the norm, is sentiment. Good sentiment can take a sector to extreme highs—as it has done for the marijuana sector at every major legalization milepost.
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As summer morphs into fall and Wall Street returns to full operation, I’m seeing some welcome signs of buying in the cannabis sector. So today we’ll join them, by averaging up in two of our holdings.
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Yesterday’s strong market triggered a technical indicator, a follow-through signal that tells us buyers are lurking. Of course, today’s big decline so far isn’t good to see, but nevertheless, this and other measures (awful sentiment, etc.) tell us there should be support on weakness.
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The good news is that many cannabis companies have been releasing their second quarter reports and the results have been excellent.
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The cannabis sector is still in correction mode ... looking for a bottom somewhere.
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While long-term prospects for the cannabis industry remain excellent, the sector as a whole remains in correction mode today, with the big Canadian stocks under the greatest pressure—and no one knows where the bottom is, though history tells us it will come when last...
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The broad market is in fine shape, with most major indexes at or near their highs and all Cabot’s market-timing indicators bullish.
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The marijuana sector’s charts have been weak overall since the sector’s March top.
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Many of our stocks seem stuck in the mud—not bad, but not blasting off like some of the market’s leading stocks. Also, looking at the Marijuana Index, we see that it’s now come back down to where it was in mid-January.
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The market has been up for six straight days, marijuana stocks look good, overall, and while we don’t quite have a buy signal from our intermediate-term trend-following indicator, we are very close. Today we are averaging up in three stocks.
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The broad market has advanced nicely since mid-day Monday when news that the Fed might lower interest rates sparked a wave of buying. Long-term, the future is bright. But short-term, the portfolio is happy holding a cash level of 23%, deferring new buying.
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The market’s larger, longer-term trend remains up, and the odds are that the market will be higher later this year. But short-term, the market remains in a correction, and marijuana stocks, as a whole, are not fighting the trend.
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Investing in up markets is easy. From the December low until recently, the strong market provided a huge tailwind that sent marijuana stocks soaring—and had our portfolio, at the peak, up 57.2% year-to-date.
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Overall, cannabis/marijuana stocks still look fine, even though the stocks were generally soft yesterday, so I’m not doing a full update, but there has been action, both good and bad, in a few stocks worth mentioning.
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Looking at the revenues of the 14 companies in our Marijuana Portfolio, the average growth rate in the latest quarter, relative to the previous year, was 409%. The median, for you statistical fans, was 255%. This is one fast-growing sector!
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The broad stock market remains healthy, with all indexes at or near highs, with the exception of small-cap stocks, which are lagging. A rising tide lifts all boats.
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