The market has been up for six straight days, marijuana stocks look good, overall, and while we don’t quite have a buy signal from our intermediate-term trend-following indicator, we are very close. Today we are averaging up in three stocks.
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The broad market has advanced nicely since mid-day Monday when news that the Fed might lower interest rates sparked a wave of buying. Long-term, the future is bright. But short-term, the portfolio is happy holding a cash level of 23%, deferring new buying.
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The market’s larger, longer-term trend remains up, and the odds are that the market will be higher later this year. But short-term, the market remains in a correction, and marijuana stocks, as a whole, are not fighting the trend.
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Investing in up markets is easy. From the December low until recently, the strong market provided a huge tailwind that sent marijuana stocks soaring—and had our portfolio, at the peak, up 57.2% year-to-date.
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Overall, cannabis/marijuana stocks still look fine, even though the stocks were generally soft yesterday, so I’m not doing a full update, but there has been action, both good and bad, in a few stocks worth mentioning.
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Looking at the revenues of the 14 companies in our Marijuana Portfolio, the average growth rate in the latest quarter, relative to the previous year, was 409%. The median, for you statistical fans, was 255%. This is one fast-growing sector!
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The broad stock market remains healthy, with all indexes at or near highs, with the exception of small-cap stocks, which are lagging. A rising tide lifts all boats.
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Today’s update is brief, but it does include a couple of important observations about the behavior of cannabis stocks in recent weeks, as well as updates on all the portfolio stocks.
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While the long-term prospects for this industry remain very bright, and I’m thrilled to be your guide to these opportunities, the short-term risks are now high. Which means that someday, there will be a correction, and some investors, particularly those who bought at top,...
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Awareness of cannabis is definitely up, but there are still major friction points, which will continue at least until the U.S. government legalizes marijuana as it has just legalized hemp.
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Trends remain good for investors in the marijuana industry.
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The simplest reason is an imbalance of supply and demand; if supply is insufficient to meet demand, as it often is in a brand new industry, prices rise. That’s one reason marijuana stocks have been rising, overall, for the past few years.
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Marijuana is still far from universally accepted, and until it is, the sector will continue to have great growth potential. That’s how investing works.
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Stocks in the marijuana sector are off to a flying start this year.
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As we approach the end of the year, and the entire investing world seems to be worrying about interest rates and tariffs, the question in my mind is whether now is a good time to buy some more marijuana stocks.
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Just a quick update on two of our positions and a bit of an educational component by using the strategy of averaging up, rather than averaging down.
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Now in its seventh year, MJBiz.com has over 1,000 exhibitors and more than 26,000 attendees, an increase of 137% from the year before. It’s BIG!
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On Tuesday, voters in three states continued the trend toward increased legalization of marijuana: Michigan voted to legalize the recreational use of the plant, while Utah and Missouri voted to legalize it for medical use.
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Several readers have asked about what effect tomorrow’s election might have on marijuana stocks, in part because four states have measures on the ballot that would increase legality.
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Tomorrow’s the day that stores across Canada begin selling marijuana legally, and as I’ve said several times before, I believe the odds are that this will mark an intermediate-term top for many of the stocks in the sector.
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