Back in the Soup
During the past month, the way we thought about what was going on was that growth stocks had finally put themselves into a position to get going after a two and a half month stretch of tough, choppy trading. Instead narrow,...
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Cloudflare (NET) earnings are out today as sector rotation and scrutiny of SPAC-acquired target company valuations continue. Electric vehicle (EVs) stocks are struggling a bit and could be presenting us with attractive entry points.
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Major corporations are sitting on a pile of cash. Wouldn’t that be a nice problem for all of us? This has been a decade-long cash buildup but it has gotten quite a boost from the pandemic. And the trend is even starker outside America.
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With the stock market continuing to reach record highs, and with most stocks either participating in the rally or facing structural, fundamental challenges that they won’t likely overcome, finding new ideas can be a challenge.
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Seeing More Setups, but Still in the Spin Cycle
Two-plus months ago, speculation was running rampant and most growth stocks had made giant moves over the prior six to nine months. So when the sellers finally stepped up and cracked the intermediate-term uptrend in growth...
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I believe the market’s churn over the last month or so is understandable given its sharp rebound over the last year. Investors and analysts alike are now assessing valuations of stocks relative to expected growth. In some cases it is giving pause; in it...
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Markets seem to be pausing a bit, with some stocks losing momentum while a few show surprising strength.
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Sellers Fading—but Will the Buyers Show Up?
We’re all about going with the evidence, and when it comes to growth stocks, the evidence was nearly uniformly negative (or at least not positive) for most of the past month. The vast majority of leading stocks, many...
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Nearly 95% of companies in the S&P 500 are now trading above their 200-day moving average, according to Dow Jones Market Data, the highest percentage since May 2013. As if we didn’t have enough to worry about, as of late February, investors had a..
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Tech stocks struggle a bit but some EV stocks bounce back as investors look to play the long game.
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In the excitement to capture the momentum in post-Covid economic re-opening stocks, investors seem to be leaving aside the defense contractors.
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Less is More
In the real world, persistence is almost always associated with good things. If you’re a salesperson, you don’t give up when a few accounts turn you down; you keep selling until one customer bites. If your team is developing a new they...
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It has been one year since the S&P 500 hit bottom and since the then the blue-chip index has roared back nearly 75%. Just imagine if we would have had a pile of cash and the guts to jump in.
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You can often find exciting and profitable investment ideas at the edge of new technologies.
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Open to Anything, but Playing the Odds
Last year saw a ton of “wow, we haven’t seen this kind of unusual market action in decades!” situations, but instead of reverting back to normal behavior, 2021 has had plenty of tricks up its sleeve as The...
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In a bit of a reversal, tech stocks gyrated and industrial stocks jumped this past week. In particular, energy and financial stocks led the way as the Dow closed above 32,000 for the first time. Tech company stalwarts rebounded a bit yesterday but been...
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The market is hitting a little turbulence, which is natural as it feels its way across the timing of the pandemic economic recovery, concern over debt, interest rates, and inflation.
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More Cracks Appear
At the start of November we saw a couple of blastoff-type indicators flash green (like the Three Day Thrust rule), and that turned out to be the start of a powerful intermediate-term advance. During the next two-plus months, progress was relative there...
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You may have seen that a relatively new Explorer idea, Fisker (FSR), was up 38% yesterday. It turns out that my analogy of comparing the company to Apple’s relationship to Foxconn was truer than even I could imagine. The news yesterday was that Foxconn will be a..
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We are modestly optimistic on energy prices – domestic production will likely remain subdued while global demand has essentially returned to pre-pandemic levels even though some petroleum-driven demand for gasoline and jet fuel hasn’t fully recovered yet.
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