Stocks have surged this past month, with the S&P 500 returning 11% in November. Other major indices, including the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq Composite, produced similarly strong returns. These kinds of returns would make a good year in most investors’ eyes.
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The bull market is alive and well, as investors look forward to vaccines that enable economic reopening. So I continue to recommend that you be heavily invested in a diversified portfolio of stocks.
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The bull market rolls on, with today’s news about Moderna’s vaccine providing a high-profile reason to be optimistic about reopening the economy.
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The news that Pfizer has a promising Covid vaccine, combined with the weekend news that Biden/Harris won the presidential election, triggered a wave of buying (and selling) on Wall Street this morning, rewarding both large caps and small caps while penalizing (at least stocks...
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At Least One Uncertainty Cloud Should be Evaporating
There remains a lot going on. The pandemic, domestic and international economies struggling, zero/negative interest rates, and an unusually high number of other clouds still obscure the investing horizon. But, with election season rapidly approaching its one...
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With the election tomorrow a nearly universal concern, my optimistic expectation is that it will quickly pass, and investors’ attention will revert to what really matters—growth and valuation.
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The overall investing environment remains positive, though recent weakness in growth stocks in particular means buyers of aggressive stocks should favor low-risk entry points.
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Some of the best stock performers throughout history have been what are known as “follow-on” opportunities—companies that thrive as a secondary effect of some major change going on in the world.
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The overall investing environment continues to improve, with our intermediate-term trend-following indicator now back in positive mode and growth stocks in particular seeing strong buying.
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We’re in Limbo-Land … Now What?
There seems to be so much going on, and yet investors are stuck in the middle with no direction.
We’ve passed the worst (hopefully) of the pandemic, yet there isn’t a clear-cut solution in sight. The domestic economy continues grow...
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Officially, Cabot’s trend-following indicators now tell us that the intermediate-term trend of the market is down—and this means it’s prudent to increase your cash position, while leaning toward caution in new investments.
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Officially, Cabot’s trend-following indicators now tell us that the intermediate-term trend of the market is down—and this means it’s prudent to increase your cash position, while leaning toward caution in new investments.
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Technically, the market is now in an intermediate-term downtrend, which tells us that additional defensive measures would be prudent. In the very short term, however, I expect a bounce from today’s high-profile decline, so I’m mainly holding.
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Overall, our market-timing indicators remain bullish, and thus the prescription for investing success is to maintain a diversified portfolio of healthy stocks.
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Overall, our market-timing indicators remain bullish, and thus the prescription for investing success is to maintain a diversified portfolio of healthy stocks.
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Don’t Fight the Fed?
The U.S. Federal Reserve Bank, called by its colloquial name “the Fed” even on its website, made its informal but landmark policy change official last week. For the foreseeable future, the Fed will keep interest rates near zero, focusing almost on...
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The bull market remains in full force, even as various signs (sentiment and charts) caution that a correction is increasingly likely.
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The market’s strength has been very impressive, and our market-timing indicators continue to tell us that the market will be higher in the months ahead.
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The broad market continues to look very healthy, with good breadth that suggests the ultimate end of this bull run is still months away.
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Despite a few cracks in growth stocks in the last couple trading days, the overall stock market continues to hum along, with the S&P 500 a mere 1% below all-time highs as of this writing.
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