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Weekly Summary May 15, 2020

Cabot Prime Week Ending May 15, 2020

Stock Recommendation Tracker

The Stock Recommendation Tracker is a table that features all of the current recommendations in all of our portfolios. It’s a quick way for you to see what stocks are currently in our portfolios and will highlight new additions or any changes to our recommendations over the previous week. We include this table at the bottom of the Weekly Summary, and provide a link here at the top to the Stock Recommendations Tracker.

Cabot Weekly Review (Video)

In this week’s stock market video, In this week’s video, Mike Cintolo talks about the market’s selloff this week, which has put the intermediate-term trend on the fence. On the flip side, though, leading stocks continue to act well, with many still rising and others pulling back normally. Overall, Mike advises against ignoring the market’s weakness, but also not to overreact to it -- many names could actually be good buys on dips, but flexibility remains key.

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Rebalancing Your Portfolio After Coronavirus + Two Good Stocks to Buy Now

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Cabot Growth Investor

Bi-weekly Update May 14: The market’s evidence has worsened some this week—our Cabot Tides are now on the fence as the broad market has softened. Growth stocks are still in generally good shape, so Mike is happy to hang on, but he’s going to take a couple of chips off the table tonight—specifically, he’s selling one-quarter of our remaining shares in both Dexcom (DXCM) and DocuSign (DOCU). He does have a few stocks he’s watching to buy if he sees better entry points, but tonight he has just the two partial sales, which will give us around 40% in cash.

Bi-weekly Issue May 7: Mike has stood pat in the Model Portfolio for the past couple of weeks, and happily most of our names are in great shape. Tonight he’s adding another old friend to the portfolio—Twilio (TWLO), who soared out of a huge launching pad after earnings today, and he’ll buy a full position tonight. Our cash position will be around 36% after the buy.

Other Stocks of Interest May 8: Follow ups to stocks featured December 19, 2019 (issue 1435) to May 7, 2020 (issue 1445). Since many of the stocks written about in Other Stocks of Interest don’t make their way into the Model Portfolio, you won’t see them followed on a regular basis in the issues. However, we are monitoring these stocks, and this listing gives you a quick view of our latest thoughts.

Cabot Top Ten Trader

Movers & Shakers May 15: To respect the action of the indexes and the intermediate-term trend being neutral, Mike will likely nudge our Market Monitor down a notch or two come Monday. But having avoided getting too crazy on the way up, he doesn’t advise getting overly panicked as we pull in, especially if you own the market’s best leading stocks. Mike’s buy ideas today are: Chewy (CHWY), Ciena (CIEN), and PayPal (PYPL). As for outright sells, American Tower (AMT) and Gilead (GILD) are being kicked out today, though Mike could have some more on Monday.

Weekly Issue May 11: Many indexes (small- and mid-caps) and sectors look OK, nothing great, but growth oriented stocks are lighting up the sky, with more big earnings-induced breakouts last week than we’ve seen in a very long time. In the near-term, these hot stocks might be a bit too hot; some potholes could certainly be on the table. But we also think that, assuming the general market holds up, the first retreats in many of these names are likely to provide solid entry points, as the fresh breakouts bode well overall. We’re moving our Market Monitor up to level 7. This week’s list has many of last week’s most powerful gaps and a few others with solid setups and/or persistent uptrends. It was hard to settle on one, but Mike will go with Chegg (CHGG) for his Top Pick, as it just emerged from a picture-perfect consolidation on earnings.

Cabot Undervalued Stocks Advisor

Weekly Update May 13: The stock market continues to exhibit a willingness to rise in the near term. Crista is seeing constructive price chart patterns on both the S&P 500 index and on many individual stocks. Here are today’s portfolio changes: Apple Inc. (AAPL) moves from Buy to Hold, Netflix (NFLX) moves from Hold to Buy, NVIDIA (NVDA) moves from Strong Buy to Buy and VanEck Vectors Oil Refiners ETF (CRAK) moves from Buy to Strong Buy.

Special Bulletin May 12: Today’s news: Alexion Pharmaceuticals (ALXN) rises on activist investor agitation and Brighthouse Financial (BHF) soars on great first quarter results.

Special Bulletin May 11: Today’s news: LGI Homes (LGIH) moves from Strong Buy to Buy, Voya Financial (VOYA) moves from Buy to Strong Buy, Crista writes about Portfolio Stocks Beginning Run-ups and includes a Portfolio Stock Summary.

Monthly Issue May 6: As the stock market recovers from the steep downturn in March, Crista would like to stress that this downturn bears no resemblance to any previous stock market downturn. It wasn’t created by corporate excesses or a housing bubble or any specific financial problem. And while she had certainly warned investors, beginning in December 2019, that we were due for a normal correction, simply because the S&P 500 index had risen so rapidly beginning in late October, the eventual downturn had far more to do with the global virus pandemic than anything else. She is more convinced than ever that the U.S. is in for rough seas ahead. Here are today’s portfolio changes: NVIDIA (NVDA) moves from Buy to Strong Buy and Total S.A. (TOT) moves from Hold to Strong Buy.

Cabot Stock of the Week

Weekly Issue May 11: The overall market continues to look healthy—though we haven’t yet received an “all-clear” signal from our long-term trend indicator—and our stocks are certainly behaving well, with several hitting new highs and none behaving badly. So the only sell recommendation Tim has today is a bit of short-term profit-taking in one of my recent recommendations—a stock that is due for a bit of a rest. Today’s recommendation, Verizon Communications (VZ), is a very well-known U.S. telecommunications company with a solid yield that has not only held up well in recent months but that has good growth prospects as the communications revolution continues.Tim has one portfolio change today: BlackLine (BL) moves from Hold to Sell.

Cabot Global Stocks Explorer

Bi-weekly Issue May 14: Markets have pulled back a bit over the last few days as investors hit the pause button to digest a Nasdaq in the black for 2020 while the real economy struggles to reopen. Our emerging market (EEM) momentum timer has turned positive by the slightest of margins. Carl’s recommendation today is: Trip.com Group (TCOM), a contrarian recommendation that is known as the “Expedia of China” and, as you might guess, its stock has been struggling since January. Today’s one portfolio change is to Sell Ping An (PNGAY).

Bi-weekly Update May 7: Carl writes that emerging markets, and many developed international markets, have not bounced back anywhere near what the Nasdaq or S&P 500 have during the past couple of months. This gap is an opportunity for us, but risk is still high so we need to be selective and try to wait for uptrends to develop. He has two portfolio changes today: Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear (SPDN) moves to Sell and Ping An (PNGAY) Moves from Buy to Hold.

Cabot Dividend Investor

Monthly Issue May 13: Cabot Dividend Investor portfolio is only buying very selectively. While the overall market may be shaky at this point, certain companies are thriving during the pandemic. There are niches where business is actually booming. In this issue Tom highlights two stocks that are selling at bargain prices, have businesses barely affected by the pandemic, and stand to thrive in the post-Covid-19 market as well. He has one portfolio change today, Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR) moves from HOLD to BUY.

Weekly Update May 6: Tom writes, the economy and the market will come back from this, but probably not before more trouble. The path to economic strength and a booming market is ahead, only with more bumps in the road than the market seems to be currently anticipating. If the market does take another drubbing, it will probably be short lived. Don’t fear it. Expect it. And prepare to exploit it. There are no rating changes today.

Cabot Marijuana Investor

Update May 13: Continuing to work to get back toward full investment (but only in the best stocks), the portfolio will now sell half its position in Cronos (CRON), which is going the wrong way, and then use half our cash (the CRON proceeds plus existing cash) to buy equal portions of Curaleaf (CURLF), Green Thumb Industries (GTBIF), Grow Generation (GRWG) and Trulieve (TCNNF). Also, Innovative Industrial Properties (IIPR) is upgraded to Buy.

Monthly Issue April 29: Tim’s advice is to aim long-term, and remember that the best way to complete a long trip is to make a smart start. Try to buy on dips. Diversify, spreading your investments both geographically and among business models. As both the marijuana sector bear market and the flash coronavirus bear market recede into history, and investors again look forward to economic progress, it’s appropriate to put some of our cash to work. The portfolio will now use a third of its cash to buy equal dollar amounts of Aphria (APHA), Cresco Labs (CRLBF), Green Thumb Industries (GTBIF) and Tilray (TLRY). This will take our cash position down to roughly 30%.

Special Report: April 29, 2020

U.S. Vertically Integrated Multistate Operators (MSOs)

Cabot Early Opportunities

Special Bulletin May 13: Growth stocks have defied gravity lately. Who knows if this afternoon’s retreat is going to send them back to earth, but Tyler doesn’t want to wait too long to lock in some of our hard-earned gains. Today, he’s taking the following actions: Livongo (LVGO)—SELL HALF, Deciphera (DCPH) —SELL and Five9 (FIVN) —SELL A QUARTER.

Monthly Issue April 15: This isn’t to say it’s time to get super-aggressive. There are still big hurdles to get over. But the trends suggest we could be in the early to middle stages of a market recovery, complete with expected bouts of volatility, and that means continue to average into select opportunities. So, this month’s Issue of Cabot Early Opportunities features a variety of stocks across the risk spectrum. Tyler has a company working on immune medicines, including antibody testing for COVID-19, as well as a conservative MedTech stock that’s been punished but should bounce back. The month’s Top Pick, Datadog (DDOG), is a way to play surging demand for a specific type of cloud computing technology.

Cabot Profit Booster

Update May 14: Tomorrow is the expiration of May options, and it’s been a spectacular month for our covered call strategy. We have six positions that will expire tomorrow and Jacob breaks down each one. One will need action (CHWY), while most others will expire for full profits tomorrow and we will not need to adjust.

Weekly Issue May 12: The Stock – Chegg (CHGG) From its modest beginning as an online textbook hub, Chegg grew into a multi-pronged educational platform. The company still offers textbooks (and e-textbooks) and allows students to buy/sell them online, but that’s a small part of its business and it operates it at breakeven. The real growth driver is the company’s student learning platform, which offers online tutoring and test prep, homework help (including a library of 37 million pieces of content and 31 million expert Q&A answers) and an online internship and job search platform. The Covered Call TradeBuy Chegg (CHGG) Stock at 61, Sell to Open June 65 Calls (exp. 6/19/2020) for $2, or a Net Price of 59 or less.

Wall Street’s Best Investments

Daily Alert May 15: Pfizer Inc. (PFE) Internet Wealth Builder
Daily Alert May 14: Deere & Company (DE) Directinvesting.com
Daily Alert May 13: General Motors Company (GM) Cabot Undervalued Stocks Advisor
Daily Alert May 12: Extendicare Inc. (EXE.TO) Contra the Heard
Daily Alert May 11: SVB Financial Group (SIVBP) Income Securities Investor

Monthly Issue April 16: Nancy’s Spotlight Stock this month, Amazon (AMZN), certainly fits the growth category. One of the FANG stocks, the company is seeing expansion on all levels, including e-commerce, streaming, and its web services. This month, she also has a second opinion on the stock, also very positive. And her Feature article is a bit more numbers-based as to why she believes this company will continue to be a major online force.

Ask the Experts

Cabot Growth Investor

Question: Hi Mike, First of all, I wanted to say thank you for your detailed analysis of the market and your recommendations in the Growth Advisory newsletter. Your team is fantastic and has been spot on with the market. I would be curious to get your thoughts on a price target for COUP. I am planning to let this one run until your team says otherwise. Thank you in advance!

Mike: Thanks for writing, and the kind comments. We’ve had some good luck of late, and while I’m sure there will be potholes, we’ll just try to stay on the right side of things. As for price targets – that’s not my style. COUP has decisively moved to new highs, though I wouldn’t say volume has been impressive, not that such a factor has stopped it. They will have earnings in early June, something to consider. If it were me, I’d probably move my stop to breakeven here or a bit above (assuming you have a good profit) and see how it handles its first pullback. But so far, so good.

Premium Reports

Quarterly Cabot Analyst Meeting

The recording of the Cabot Prime Members Meeting with the Analysts from April 15, 2020 is now available for you to listen to at your convenience—click here for access. This private call with our analysts is one of your exclusive Cabot Prime member benefits.

Guide to Cabot Prime

This Guide to Cabot Prime will help you make the best use of your Prime membership to create a strong personal portfolio.

Stock Recommendations Tracker

The table below lists all of the stocks held in any Cabot portfolio.
Updated or revised recommendations from the past week are in purple text.
Stocks added to a portfolio are highlighted in green text.
Closed stock positions in the past week are highlighted in red text.

StockCabot Global Stocks ExplorerCabot Growth InvestorCabot Marijuana InvestorCabot Stock of the WeekCabot Undervalued Stock AdvisorCabot Dividend Investor
AAPLHold
ABBVHoldBuy
ADBEBuy
ALXN Hold
AMZNHold
APHASee Advisory
AREHold
AVGOBuy
BABAWatch
BIP Buy 2/3
BKRHold
BLSell
BMYStrong Buy
BSCL Buy 1/2
BUGBuy 1/2
CCIHold
CGCSee Advisory
CHCTHold 1/3
CHWYBuy 1/2
CRAKStrong Buy
CRLBFSee Advisory
CRONSee Advisory
CURLFSee Advisory
DBSDYBuy 1/2
DOCUSell 1/4
DOWBuy
DXCMSell 1/4
EPDHold
EQHStrong Buy
FANUYBuy 1/2Buy
GMStrong Buy
GRWGSee Advisory
GTBIFSee Advisory
HTHTHold
IIPRSee AdvisoryBuy
LGIHBuy
LKHoldHold
MCYHold
MKSIHold
MOHold
MPCBuyStrong Buy
NEEHoldHold 1/2
NETBuy 1/2Buy 1/2
NFLXBuy
NVDABuyBuy
NVEEStrong Buy
OKTABuy
PGX Hold 1/2
PNGAYSell
PWRHold
QCOMHold
RNGHold
SEHold 1/2Hold
SPCEHold 1/2Hold
SPDNSold
STAGHold
TCNNFSee AdvisoryBuy
TCOMBuy 1/2
TDOCHold
TLRYSee Advisory
TOTStrong Buy
TPBSee Advisory
TSLAHold
TSNBuyBuy
TWLOBuy
UEICBuy
VLOHold
VOYAStrong Buy
VRTXBuyBuy
VZBuyBuy
XELHold 2/3
ZMBuy
ZSBuy